(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13 Sw Thiago Boniek 15 2 17 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15 Df Nicomedes Martino 7 2 9 Df Walter McGree 12 0 12 Df Jean Courtial 7 2 9 Df Shoichi Morita 6 2 8 Df Victor Rui 3 2 5 Mf Tin Perisic 15 1 16 Fw Abel Peeters 8 2 10 Mf Callum Rowles 6 2 8 Mf Faustino Trotta 9 2 11 Fw Valerio Paredes 15 1 16 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 6 2 8 Fw Takao Soma 13 2 15 Fw Atef Omar 13 2 15 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 0 13 Fw Paul Dumont 16 2 18 Fw Julien De Boeck 10 1 11 Fw Ederson Fabinho 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 13 35 24 55 ROSTER TOTALS 18 17 23 19 52 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 13 35 24 64 T O T A L S 18 17 23 19 52 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.41 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.95 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.41 (no red card) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.48 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.64 (no red card) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.66 (no red card) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.04 (no red card) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.97 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.61 (no red card) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.22 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.14 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.17 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.94 (no red card) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.25 (no red card) Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.47 (no red card) Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.45 (no red card) Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.06 (no red card) Fw Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.7 (no red card) Mf Faustino Trotta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.93 (no red card) Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.26 (no red card) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.89 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.31 (no red card) Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.77 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.9 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.01 (no injury) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no injury) Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no injury) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.87 (no injury) Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.22 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.94 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.85 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.69 (no injury) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.11 (no injury) Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.31 (no injury) Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.67 (no injury) Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.13 (no injury) Fw Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury) Mf Faustino Trotta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.17 (no injury) Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.47 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.93 (no injury) Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.9 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Tin Perisic SL 15 - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16 intRndPk = 76 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15 intRndPk = 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 17 13 35 24 64 Nottingham Forest 18 17 23 19 52 Watford Fw Attacks = 41 (64 - 23); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 3 ((24 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 44 1: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 25: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 35: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 39: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 41: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 42: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 43: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 44: Attack for Fw Takao Soma Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 18 17 23 19 52 Watford 17 13 35 24 64 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 24) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 64) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 17 1: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Abel Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Abel Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Abel Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 1 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1