(H)

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman

Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Samir Bouaziz 7 2 9 Gk Alexander Bach 13 2 15 Sw Bradley Perry 13 2 15 Df Hugo Simons 12 2 14 Df Jaap De wit 12 2 14 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 10 2 12 Df Óscar Cespedes 12 2 14 Df Goronwy Wright 7 2 9 Df Joshua Partey 7 2 9 Df James Aminu 7 2 9 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 13 2 15 Df Léon Velardi 3 2 5 Mf Raouf Salem 13 2 15 Mf Denis Fellaini 12 2 14 Mf Jacques Mefire 7 2 9 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 12 2 14 Fw Vukmir Kovalenko 7 2 9 Mf Yahia El idrissi 8 0 8 Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 7 2 9 Fw Dario Sucic 10 2 12 Fw Elias Mayer 3 2 5 Fw Alex Etoundi 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 15 37 39 23 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 49 36 23 0 1 1 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0 ======================================================================= 9 16 38 48 23 T O T A L S 16 0 49 43 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.4 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.06 (no red card) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.22 (no red card) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.75 (no red card) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.42 (no red card) Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.43 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.51 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card) Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.0 (no red card) Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.82 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.41 (no second yellow) Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card) Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.44 (no red card) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.46 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 55.94 (no red card) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.9 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.22 (no red card) Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.95 (no red card) Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.7 (no red card) Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.23 (no red card) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.33 (no red card) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.76 (no red card) Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.69 (no red card) Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.72 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.87% Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 74.85 (no injury) Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 28.96 (no injury) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 14.24 (no injury) Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.68 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 0.87 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Rigobert Mahamat is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Rigobert Mahamat new match skill level = 7 Rigobert Mahamat new match total level = 9 Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 16.92 (no injury) Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 70.63 (no injury) Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 2.3 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Vukmir Kovalenko is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Vukmir Kovalenko new match skill level = 4 Vukmir Kovalenko new match total level = 6 Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury) Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 10.97 (no injury) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25% - Gk chance of injury = 2.12% Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 3.96 (no injury) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 75.24 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 70.77 (no injury) Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.75 (no injury) Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.45 (no injury) Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.85 (no injury) Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.96 (no injury) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 82.32 (no injury) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.48 (no injury) Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 33.78 (no injury) Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.04 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Raouf Salem SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Hugo Simons SL 12 - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 9 16 38 42 20 Weston-super-Mare AFC 16 0 49 43 23 Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap! Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 49) Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 5 ((38 - 23) / 3); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 1.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Jaap De wit Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 16 0 49 43 23 Brighton & Hove Albion 9 16 38 42 20 Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw! Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 38) Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((43 - 42) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((49 - 20) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Léon Velardi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0 - WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
Match Notes

We do not travel well to Brighton and have not won or scored a goal at their ground in over 12 seasons. We need to tell the Coach driver to go back to the Withdean as Brian´s side don´t appear to be playing at the Amex yet!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/19 - 12:56 PM

The lack of goals at Brighton is a big worry ahead of this match. We need to rectify this!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/19 - 12:58 PM

Vick, if WSM doesn’t feel comfortable at Amex, feel free to send the school club. We will not be offended.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/19 - 9:22 PM

Nothing against WSM, but we really need a two win session.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/20 - 12:14 AM


This doesn’t help us. Not at all.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/25 - 7:23 PM

happy to escape with a draw here
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/25 - 9:10 PM