(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Yassine Amara 3 2 5 Gk Pathé Ndong 5 2 7 Df Jordan Bukari 4 2 6 Df Enrique Masis 13 0 13 Df Manuel Ortiz 12 2 14 Df Gharib Alami 11 1 12 Df Mauricio López 6 2 8 Df Miguel de la Cruz 6 2 8 Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Df Jordan Cummings 3 2 5 Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri 5 2 7 Mf Khalid Idrissi 12 2 14 Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 6 2 8 Fw Rónald Aguilera 11 2 13 Mf Kenneth Sani 5 2 7 Fw Kenzie McDonald 11 2 13 Mf Per Hamann 3 2 5 Fw Roman Radomski 10 2 12 Fw Michaël Van der heijden15 2 17 Fw Jamie Behich 6 2 8 Fw Renato Cabanas 6 2 8 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 0 28 24 62 ROSTER TOTALS 7 0 38 34 25 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 6 0 28 33 62 T O T A L S 7 0 38 34 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.49 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 26.85 (no red card) Df Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.64 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.11 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.83 (no second yellow) Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.38 (no red card) Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.07 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.55 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.17 (no red card) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.09 (no red card) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.07 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.88 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.24 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.97 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.36 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.04 (no red card) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.96 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.43 (no red card) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.64 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.95 (no second yellow) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.48 (no red card) Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.79 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.74 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.77 (no injury) Df Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.51 (no injury) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.55 (no injury) Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no injury) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.89 (no injury) Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.69 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.56 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.64 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.35 (no injury) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.11 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.9 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.97 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.32 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.86 (no injury) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.86 (no injury) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury) Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.79 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.18 (no injury) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15 - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 5 intRndPk = 20 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 15 - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 3 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 6 0 28 33 62 Swansea City AFC 7 0 38 34 25 Southend United Fw Attacks = 24 (62 - 38); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Southend United Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 5); result rounded up Southend United Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 44.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 96.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 93.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 41.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 27.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 3.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 59.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 23: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 93.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 44.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 7 0 38 34 25 Southend United 6 0 28 33 62 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 28) Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((34 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 62) / 5; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Kenneth Sani Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 3.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 5 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0