(H)

Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin

Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRISTOL CITY FC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alberto Flores 14 1 15 Gk Ryan Vukovic 13 2 15 Sw Atsushi Oshima 13 0 13 Sw Lucien Kalla 12 2 14 Df Eugene Goodwin 13 1 14 Df Mohamadou Sy 13 0 13 Df Martin Rodríguez 13 1 14 Df Robert Bak 12 1 13 Df Patrick LecLercq 3 2 5 Df Shiro Minamino 3 2 5 Mf Isaac Juhlin 11 2 13 Mf Oscar Bremer 13 0 13 Mf Thomas Jacobs 7 2 9 Mf Pedro Vazquez 3 2 5 Fw Julius Nwosu 13 1 14 Fw Evaristo Masis 13 1 14 Fw Mbark Sabiri 10 2 12 Fw Farzan Vestergaard 12 1 13 Fw Dafydd Chapman 10 2 12 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 13 1 14 Fw José Oliveira 7 0 7 Fw Danylo Morozov 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 13 33 22 45 ROSTER TOTALS 15 14 31 18 50 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 13 33 22 54 T O T A L S 15 14 31 18 50 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.2 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card) Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.25 (no red card) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.86 (no red card) Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.0 (no red card) Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.52 (no red card) Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.55 (no red card) Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card) Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.18 (no red card) Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no red card) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.9 (no red card) Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.99 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.38 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.55 (no red card) Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no red card) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.53 (no red card) Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.51 (no red card) Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no red card) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.07 (no red card) Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card) Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.35 (no red card) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.6 (no red card) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.75 (no red card) Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.62 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.27 (no injury) Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.0 (no injury) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury) Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.24 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Martin Rodríguez is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Martin Rodríguez new match skill level = 7 Martin Rodríguez new match total level = 8 Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.94 (no injury) Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no injury) Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.93 (no injury) Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.48 (no injury) Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no injury) Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.25 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.3 (no injury) Sw Lucien Kalla: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.01 (no injury) Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury) Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.71 (no injury) Df Shiro Minamino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.94 (no injury) Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.48 (no injury) Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.18 (no injury) Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.65 (no injury) Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.1 (no injury) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no injury) Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.85 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eugene Goodwin SL 13 - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 13 intRndPk = 54 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mohamadou Sy SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14 intRndPk = 79 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 15 13 27 22 54 Plymouth Argyle FC 15 14 31 18 50 Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 23 (54 - 31); result rounded up Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw José Oliveira Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw José Oliveira Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw José Oliveira Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw José Oliveira Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 15 14 31 18 50 Bristol City FC 15 13 27 22 54 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 23 (50 - 27); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 2; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 54) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRISTOL CITY FC 0 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
Match Notes

Halpin, the Younger, finds himself in 2nd place in Division 1. Where did this come from? While Plymouth finds ourselves in the relegation zone. This doesn't look good.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/14 - 2:07 AM

It's mostly luck, Rob.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/14 - 3:02 PM