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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             14    1   15     Gk Manuel Zakaria         10    2   12
Sw Bradley Perry           5    2    7     Df Mamoru Morishima       10   -2    8
Df Michael Addo           12    0   12     Df Gabriel Correia         9    0    9
Df Óscar Cespedes         10    2   12     Df Herman Lambert          6    2    8
Mf Raouf Salem            10    2   12     Df Zinedine Castex         2    2    4
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       10    1   11     Mf Vibeke Skov             6    2    8
Mf William Gomez          10    1   11     Mf Mats Larsson            2    2    4
Mf Ryan Brady              8    0    8     Mf Abdel Baya              2    2    4
Fw Elliot Wilkins         17    0   17     Fw Wladimir Groen          6    2    8
Fw Khalilou Konaté        12    0   12     Fw Jakub Fabianski         6    2    8
Fw Takao Soma              5    2    7     Fw Vladimir Ureña          2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  7 24 42 36        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 29 16 20    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  8 24 42 45         T O T A L S       12  0 29 16 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.06 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.23 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.8 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.59 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.6 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.44 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.41 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.01 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.73 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.52 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.52 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.12 (no second yellow)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.32 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.08 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.79 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.68 (no red card)

Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.83 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.0 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 40.93 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.46 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.53 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.28 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.1 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.38 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.79 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.12 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.58 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 95.84 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.42 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.34 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.69 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.07 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.74 (no injury) 
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.38 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.49 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.24 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 10

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mamoru Morishima SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   15   8  24  42  45
  Oldham Athletic AFC      12   0  29  16  20

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 16 (45 - 29); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 13 ((42 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 2 ((24 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Michael Addo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 8.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 53.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 54.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 51.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 12.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 51.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 40.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      12   0  29  16  20
  Brighton & Hove Albion   15   8  24  42  45

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 24)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 5  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
A though away game agains the Brighton of Brian. I hope of a good result, but I have no confidence about it.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/24 - 7:00 PM
We never had a chance.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/26 - 9:35 AM
 
 
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