(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION SWINDON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison 12 0 12 Gk Federico Curbelo 9 0 9
Sw Bradley Perry 8 0 8 Df Hajime Tanaka 13 -1 12
Df Jason McDiarmid 13 2 15 Df Quentin Mertens 11 -1 10
Df Federico Zanetti 13 1 14 Df Thiago De Paul 4 2 6
Df Ali Chukwu 6 2 8 Df Marten Huisman 2 2 4
Mf Renato Ortega 12 0 12 Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 -1 12
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye 8 0 8 Mf Toby Llewellyn 11 -1 10
Mf Boris Perisic 6 2 8 Mf Pedro Calado 2 2 4
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 18 1 19 Fw Conway Roberts 15 -1 14
Fw Bastien Troussier 12 1 13 Fw Yuto Kawashima 5 2 7
Fw Michaël Fellaini 7 2 9 Fw Duje Majer 2 2 4
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 8 37 28 41 ROSTER TOTALS 9 0 32 26 25
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 4
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 9 37 29 49 T O T A L S 9 0 32 26 29
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.24 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.29 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.1 (no red card)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.67 (no red card)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.43 (no red card)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.69 (no red card)
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.12 (no red card)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.43 (no red card)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.48 (no red card)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.27 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.29 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.64 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.0 (no red card)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.49 (no red card)
Df Marten Huisman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.26 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.07 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.94 (no second yellow)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.24 (no red card)
Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.91 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.6 (no red card)
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.14 (no red card)
Fw Duje Majer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 7.35 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.01 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.95 (no injury)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.54 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.84 (no injury)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.77 (no injury)
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.21 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.27 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.69 (no injury)
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.87 (no injury)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 35.07 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.27 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury)
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.04 (no injury)
Df Marten Huisman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.19 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.4 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.74 (no injury)
Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.89 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Pedro Calado loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Pedro Calado new match skill level = 1
Pedro Calado new match total level = 3
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury)
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.55 (no injury)
Fw Duje Majer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.69 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 18
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 9
intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 9 37 29 49
Swindon Town FC 9 0 32 25 29
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 17 (49 - 32); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Federico Zanetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Renato Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Abdoul N'Diaye
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 69.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 21.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 98.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 62.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 0.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 9 0 32 25 29
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 9 37 29 49
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 37)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 49) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 6 - SWINDON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Brighton host Swindon and B-Squared wheels out his famous unpredictability. Five FA Cup titles suggest he knows how to handle cup football, though I suspect Swindon are quietly relieved this is Division 3.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/17 - 12:09 AM
This helps the goal differential!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 05/23 - 6:46 PM