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Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 - 10:04:32 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianni Tabarez         15    0   15     Gk John Kosowski          12    2   14
Sw Robert Krzynówek        7    2    9     Sw Ricardo Xavier          9    1   10
Df Frederik Hansen        13    0   13     Df Philippe Fabinho       14    2   16
Df Servando Verón          8    1    9     Df Kazu Fukunishi         10    2   12
Df Julien Sonko            6    2    8     Df Haris Seferovic         6    2    8
Mf David Zurawski          6    2    8     Df Gildardo Aguilar        3    2    5
Mf George Essein           6    2    8     Mf Balla Diouf            12    0   12
Fw Kevin De Smet          13   -1   12     Mf Muhammed Kwadwo         6    2    8
Fw Iain Pratt             10    2   12     Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    1   14
Fw Cesare Nesta           10    2   12     Fw Miguel Díaz            12    1   13
Fw Giliard Ramos           3    2    5     Fw Lance James             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  9 30 16 41        ROSTER TOTALS      14 10 41 20 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  9 30 17 49         T O T A L S       14 10 41 20 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.76 (no red card)

Sw Robert Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no red card)

Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.72 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.44 (no red card)

Df Julien Sonko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.31 (no second yellow)

Mf David Zurawski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.08 (no red card)

Mf George Essein: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.44 (no red card)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.18 (no red card)

Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.74 (no red card)

Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.6 (no second yellow)

Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.68 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.13 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no second yellow)

Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.08 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.51 (no red card)

Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.67 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.17 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.3 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.3 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.63 (no injury) 
Sw Robert Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.18 (no injury) 
Df Frederik Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.51 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury) 
Df Julien Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no injury) 
Mf David Zurawski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no injury) 
Mf George Essein: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.1 (no injury) 
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no injury) 
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.63 (no injury) 
Fw Giliard Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.04 (no injury) 
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.07 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.71 (no injury) 
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.17 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.25 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.9 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Muhammed Kwadwo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.66 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.03 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Frederik Hansen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 12

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Philippe Fabinho SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 15

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             15   9  30  17  49
  Brentford FC             14  10  41  20  35

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 8 (49 - 41); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             14  10  41  20  35
  Leeds United             15   9  30  17  49

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 5 (35 - 30); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((20 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Balla Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Muhammed Kwadwo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 0  -  BRENTFORD FC 1
 
Match Notes
Another series we trail in. Uphill climb against Abe and company today...
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/23 - 11:46 PM
Lucky to win. Good game Abe.
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/24 - 6:39 PM
Ah, it would have been nice to beat Bretford. Oh well, next time. Good game, Allan.
Abe (Leeds United) 01/26 - 7:24 PM
 
 
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