(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Xavier Lambert 12 2 14 Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 2 16
Sw Cristhian Dybala 12 0 12 Df Mikkel Iversen 6 2 8
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 0 13 Df Johnny Müller 3 2 5
Df Damir Vasilj 12 0 12 Df Khalid Harit 3 2 5
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 11 2 13 Mf Ike Azeez 14 0 14
Mf Peter Bengtsson 13 0 13 Mf Henry Rowles 6 2 8
Mf Jacek Frankowski 11 1 12 Mf Lukasz Bereszynski 6 2 8
Fw Duško Kolomyets 8 1 9 Mf Cédric Kenne 3 2 5
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 12 2 14 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 3 2 5
Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 1 15 Fw Ramzi Sellimi 6 2 8
Fw Noah Zimmermann 11 0 11 Fw Erik Christiansen 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 12 38 25 49 ROSTER TOTALS 16 0 18 40 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 12 38 28 55 T O T A L S 16 0 18 42 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.17 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.66 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.1 (no red card)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.5 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.27 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.42 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.04 (no red card)
Fw Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.62 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.73 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.59 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.8 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.6 (no red card)
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.95 (no red card)
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.2 (no red card)
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.95 (no red card)
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.07 (no red card)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.93 (no red card)
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.82 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.36 (no second yellow)
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.07 (no red card)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.68 (no red card)
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.66 (no red card)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 93.36 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.48 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.84 (no injury)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.71 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.5 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.31 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury)
Fw Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.73 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.13 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.55 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 64.19 (no injury)
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.41 (no injury)
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.02 (no injury)
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.19 (no injury)
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.7 (no injury)
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.24 (no injury)
Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.18 (no injury)
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury)
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.73 (no injury)
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.45 (no injury)
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Salem Bejaoui SL 14
- Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ike Azeez SL 14
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 12
intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 14 12 38 28 55
Derby County 16 0 18 42 16
Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 19 (55 - 18) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 8 ((38 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 69.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 8.89 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Duško Kolomyets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Duško Kolomyets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Duško Kolomyets
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 44.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 16 0 18 42 16
Carlisle United 14 12 38 28 55
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 38)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 7 ((42 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Mf Lukasz Bereszynski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Henry Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 3 - DERBY COUNTY 1