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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Zare Gomes             10    1   11     Gk Per Holmdahl            6    2    8
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han          6    2    8     Sw Piotr Sobolewski        3    2    5
Df Jonathan Acosta        12    0   12     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 12    2   14
Df Andre Ngwa             11    1   12     Df Edwin O'Doherty         6    2    8
Df Grégory Lloris          9    1   10     Df Festus Abubakar         3    2    5
Df Josip Sommer            6    2    8     Mf Ian Tejeda             10    1   11
Mf Bertus De leeuw        13    2   15     Mf Mario Pletikosa         6    2    8
Mf Nazariy Gusak           6    2    8     Mf Óscar Cota              3    2    5
Fw Boris Rudenko          16    2   18     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    1   16
Fw Aaron Jones            12    1   13     Fw Damien Sanchez          7    1    8
Fw Teun Van der berg       6    2    8     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  8 42 23 39        ROSTER TOTALS       8  5 27 24 32    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  8 42 27 44         T O T A L S        8  8 31 24 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Zare Gomes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 11.3 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.88 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.13 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.81 (no second yellow)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.52 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.48 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.42 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.68 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.44 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.48 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.23 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.94 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.77 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.37 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.6 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.16 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.5 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.84 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Zare Gomes: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.21 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.19 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.32 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.73 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.61 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.15 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.68 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 80.52 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Piotr Sobolewski is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Piotr Sobolewski new match skill level =  2
      Piotr Sobolewski new match total level =  4
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.72 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.51 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.98 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.03 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.16 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.5 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Boris Rudenko SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 6

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Zare Gomes SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13   8  42  27  44
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8   7  31  24  32

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 13 (44 - 31); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 4 ((42 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Grégory Lloris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 73.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Grégory Lloris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Josip Sommer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 23.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 51.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 94.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8   7  31  24  32
  Dorchester Town          13   8  42  27  44

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 42)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 3  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
We find Avenue Stadium a hard place to gather points
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:18 AM
We need to start winning starting here.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/15 - 9:40 PM
I can’t claim to be surprised
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/19 - 6:44 AM
Our first league win of the season.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 01/23 - 9:13 PM
 
 
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