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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            13    0   13     Gk Artyom Szczesny         6    2    8
Df Jordan Cummings        13    2   15     Sw Walter Wilson          12    2   14
Df Bonturo Ferrari        11    1   12     Df Edoardo Vecchi          9    2   11
Df Miguel de la Cruz      10    1   11     Df Daley Hiddink           9    1   10
Df Min-Seong Jung          6    2    8     Df Gabriele Gentiloni      6    2    8
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        9    0    9     Df Erik Richter            6    2    8
Mf Gonçalo da Rocha        7    2    9     Mf Clint Smith            18    0   18
Mf Matthew Zalewski        5    2    7     Mf Cristóbal Gomez        11    0   11
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        13    2   15     Mf Wayne Brees             9    2   11
Fw Renato Cabanas         16    2   18     Fw Francisco Murillo      11    1   12
Fw Dario Vasilj           12    0   12     Fw Greg Rashford          11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 46 25 45        ROSTER TOTALS       8 14 37 40 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 50 25 50         T O T A L S        8 14 37 40 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.27 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.4 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.66 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.51 (no red card)

Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.4 (no red card)

Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.07 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no second yellow)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.75 (no red card)

Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.95 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.21 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.45 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.96 (no red card)

Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.25 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.92 (no second yellow)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.44 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.39 (no red card)

Mf Cristóbal Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.4 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.44 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Wayne Brees new match skill level =  5
      Wayne Brees new match total level =  7

Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.46 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.18 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.88 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.83 (no injury) 
Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.61 (no injury) 
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.46 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.79 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.52 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.96 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.38 (no injury) 
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.4 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.46 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.69 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.62 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Clint Smith is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Clint Smith new match skill level =  9
      Clint Smith new match total level =  9
Mf Cristóbal Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.79 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.14 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Renato Cabanas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 6

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristóbal Gomez SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         13   0  50  25  50
  Northampton Town FC      8  14  37  27  23

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (50 - 37); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((50 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 34.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 40.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      8  14  37  27  23
  Swansea City AFC         13   0  50  25  50

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 50)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Cristóbal Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Don’t look like winning here
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/24 - 6:45 PM
Olmec hates me
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 01/24 - 7:07 PM
 
 
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