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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach          6    2    8     Gk Alonso Lopez           14    2   16
Sw Toni Meyer             12    2   14     Sw Jordan Bukari           6    2    8
Df Radoslaw Kaminski      10    2   12     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Df Martin Rodríguez        6    1    7     Df Vincent Hamidou        10    2   12
Mf Melvin Carmona          9    1   10     Df Mauricio López          6    2    8
Mf Denis Fellaini          6    2    8     Df Alain Teulet            3    2    5
Fw Nii Mingle             18    0   18     Mf Nico Schär              8    2   10
Fw Krystian Zewlakow      13    2   15     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      5    2    7
Fw Javier Jimenez         12    2   14     Mf Ludwig Troell           3    2    5
Fw Rik Schipper           11    2   13     Fw Jamie Behich            6    2    8
Fw Dario Sucic             6    2    8     Fw Pedro Viera             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8 14 19 18 68        ROSTER TOTALS      16  8 38 22 13    
       1  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 14 24 23 68         T O T A L S       17 11 42 22 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 6.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 65.06 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.47 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.43 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.79 (no red card)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.1 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.81 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.11 (no red card)

Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.93 (no red card)

Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.76 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.66 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 20.99 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.39 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.45 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.09 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.69 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.96 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.05 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.41 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.8 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 2.79 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 55.36 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.16 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.14 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 4.41 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.34 (no injury) 
Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 14.85 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.65 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 60.38 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.23 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.97 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.44 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 84.87 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 52.96 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.07 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 44.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    9  14  24  23  68
  Southend United          17  11  42  22  13

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 26 (68 - 42); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((24 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Melvin Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Dario Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  11  42  22  13
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    9  14  24  23  68

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 24)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 3  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
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