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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             12    0   12     Gk Alberto Flores         13    2   15
Df Eric Aidoo             13    1   14     Sw Reece Gregory          12    1   13
Df Óscar Cespedes         12    2   14     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        13    1   14
Df Joshua Partey           6    2    8     Df Martin Rodríguez       10    2   12
Df Niklas Köhler           5    2    7     Df Yahya Cheddira          3    2    5
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       13    2   15     Mf Steven Simons          10    1   11
Mf Yuriy Taran            11    2   13     Mf Rafal Karas             6    2    8
Mf Jacques Mefire          6    2    8     Mf Thomas Jacobs           3    2    5
Mf Minki Sung-yeung        3    2    5     Fw Mbark Sabiri           13    1   14
Fw Takao Soma             11    2   13     Fw Dafydd Chapman         13    1   14
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko        6    2    8     Fw Ulf Helander           12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 43 41 21        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 31 24 42    
       1  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 44 50 21         T O T A L S       15 13 38 24 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 55.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 22.82 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.64 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card)

Df Joshua Partey: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.07 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.83 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.51 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.84 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.68 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.6 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.12 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.13 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.7 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.01 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.66 (no second yellow)

Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.99 (no red card)

Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.71 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.3 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.36 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.61 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.32 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 93.58 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.43 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Partey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.4 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.62 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.83 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.27 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Yuriy Taran is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Yuriy Taran new match skill level =  6
      Yuriy Taran new match total level =  8
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.72 (no injury) 
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.43 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.82 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 41.93 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.65 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.42 (no injury) 
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.58 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.63 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.04 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Mbark Sabiri is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mbark Sabiri new match skill level =  7
      Mbark Sabiri new match total level =  8
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eric Aidoo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 13

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cadwaladr Lewis SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13   0  44  45  21
  Bristol City FC          15  13  38  24  36

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 2 ((44 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Joshua Partey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15  13  38  24  36
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13   0  44  45  21

Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 44)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 21) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
HA might be enough, but it will be a close, challenging battle regardless.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/13 - 2:33 PM
Every away match is difficult, but we'll try our best.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/18 - 4:26 PM
Not too keen on the result. 🙄
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/19 - 3:13 AM
 
 
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