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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          15    1   16     Gk Valentin Lugn          15    2   17
Sw Fokke Taylor           12    1   13     Df Hayden Goodwin         14    2   16
Df Sion Bowen             12    0   12     Df Abdul Otu              12    1   13
Df Philipp Vogel           6    2    8     Df Joel Calvo              6    2    8
Df Sven Thoren             3    2    5     Mf Miguel López           12    2   14
Mf Albert Ohrel           11    1   12     Mf Arthur Goodwin         10    2   12
Mf Santiago Villa          6    2    8     Mf Angus McKay            13    2   15
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   14    0   14     Fw Eduardo Luna           13    2   15
Fw Peter Goossens         11    1   12     Fw Geovanny Arley          6    2    8
Fw Adam Vasilev            6    2    8     Fw Pol Ruiz                6    2    8
Fw Hermidio Rivera         3    2    5     Fw Atsushi Morioka         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 25 20 39        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 37 41 36    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 25 20 48         T O T A L S       17  0 37 41 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 62.15 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.65 (no red card)

Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.34 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.33 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.31 (no red card)

Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.7 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.4 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.42 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.91 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.12 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.69 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.69 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.6 (no second yellow)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.77 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.99 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.21 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.61 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.61 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.1 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.6 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 84.65 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.87 (no injury) 
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.2 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.28 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.19 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.44 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.27 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.81 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.11 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.61 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.74 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.68 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.38 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.83 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.75 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.74 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             17  13  25  20  48
  Preston North End FC     17   0  37  41  36

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 6 (48 - 37) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17   0  37  41  36
  Port Vale FC             17  13  25  20  48

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 11 (36 - 25); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((41 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 48) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Angus McKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Pol Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
Match Notes
Wellp... Ian again. We never do well against Ian
John (Port Vale FC) 01/18 - 4:30 AM
Wellp... Ian again
John (Port Vale FC) 01/23 - 5:30 AM
 
 
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