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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mauricio Higuain       10    0   10     Gk Dani Cassio             6    2    8
Sw Gabriel Alvarado        9    0    9     Sw Philippe Manago        12    2   14
Df Seny Sarr              11    0   11     Df Marco Sa               11    2   13
Df Alan Cole               9    0    9     Df Lloyd Cole              7    1    8
Mf Filip Kramaric         10    0   10     Df Nicola Panucci          6    2    8
Mf Josh Jordan             9    0    9     Df Kyria Brozovic          3    2    5
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez     13    0   13     Mf Aliyu Edet             13    0   13
Fw Lukasz Dudka            9    0    9     Mf Minato Morishima        6    2    8
Fw Eric Mertens            8    0    8     Fw Ki Seon-min             9    1   10
Fw Kaj Jensen              8    0    8     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     6    2    8
Fw Manuel Benaglio         5    0    5     Fw Agustin Martinez        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  9 20 19 43        ROSTER TOTALS       8 14 34 21 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  9 20 19 52         T O T A L S       11 14 41 21 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.85 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Alvarado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card)

Df Seny Sarr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.97 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.3 (no second yellow)

Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.38 (no red card)

Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.23 (no red card)

Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.06 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.74 (no red card)

Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.62 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.51 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.33 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.93 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.27 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.17 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.46 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.44 (no red card)

Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.17 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.8 (no red card)

Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.35 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.22 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.62 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Alvarado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.65 (no injury) 
Df Seny Sarr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Mf Filip Kramaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no injury) 
Mf Josh Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury) 
Fw Exequiel Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.29 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.62 (no injury) 
Fw Eric Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.23 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.07 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.29 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.17 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.77 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.88 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.21 (no injury) 
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.26 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.91 (no injury) 
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.23 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.43 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Exequiel Gutierrez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 6

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aliyu Edet SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 10

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       10   9  20  19  52
  Carlisle United          11  14  41  21  23

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 11 (52 - 41); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kaj Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 88.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Exequiel Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Eric Mertens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lukasz Dudka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          11  14  41  21  23
  Hereford United FC       10   9  20  19  52

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 2 (23 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 60.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
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