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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 49 // Landing
 
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Watford
James Tucker
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
Youth Cup Final
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Yassine Amara           9    2   11
Sw Ogunsakin Njoku         3    2    5     Sw Gilbert Tchato          5    2    7
Df Keita Hattori           9    1   10     Df Vincent Hamidou        16    2   18
Df Meliton Martinez        8    2   10     Df Alain Teulet            9    2   11
Df Shoichi Morita          4    1    5     Df Johan Teulet            5    2    7
Mf Seth Sibley             9    2   11     Mf Ludwig Troell           9    2   11
Mf Callum Rowles           4    2    6     Mf Cyril Chadli            5    2    7
Fw Edgar Jimenez          16    0   16     Fw Cássio Lemos           17    2   19
Fw Valerio Paredes        14    0   14     Fw Jamie Behich           14    2   16
Fw Claudio Prado           9    2   11     Fw Pedro Viera             9    2   11
Fw Djonno De boer          5    2    7     Fw Marek Grabara           5    1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  5 25 17 48        ROSTER TOTALS      11  7 36 18 52    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  3  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  5 29 17 48         T O T A L S       14 10 36 18 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.85 (no red card)

Sw Ogunsakin Njoku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.27 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.36 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.93 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.02 (no second yellow)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.7 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.54 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.93 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.64 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.4 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.28 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 41.01 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.7 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.64 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.73 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.76 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.29 (no red card)

Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.58 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.44 (no second yellow)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.07 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Sw Ogunsakin Njoku: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.05 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.09 (no injury) 
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.26 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.59 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.87 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.08 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.16 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.63 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.53 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 61.57 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.93 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.91 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.71 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.17 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.73 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.27 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.18 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21   5  29  17  48
  Southend United          14  10  36  18  52

Watford Fw Attacks = 12 (48 - 36); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 18) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          14  10  36  18  52
  Watford                  21   5  29  17  48

Southend United Fw Attacks = 23 (52 - 29); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((18 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 33.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 20.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 78.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
Watford have a busy session 10. Great season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/02 - 11:04 AM
Yep, Watford on the cusp of a double.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/06 - 2:23 PM
Big session for Watford.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/08 - 12:42 AM
Too close to call!
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/08 - 6:15 AM
Good game James.
Colin (Southend United) 03/09 - 11:27 AM
Colin seems to have these close cup games nailed
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/09 - 12:53 PM
The Youth Cup is a notoriously difficult tournament to navigate. Congratulations on a fantastic accomplishment, Colin!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/10 - 1:05 AM
Congrats Colin
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 03/10 - 11:01 PM
Congratulations Colin. Well deserved. Unlucky James but an excellent run.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/11 - 8:38 PM
Congrats Colin!
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/15 - 4:04 PM
 
 
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