(H)

Brentford FC
Allan Sellers

Watford
James Tucker
FA Shield Final
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRENTFORD FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jordan Rose 16 2 18 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Sw Ricardo Xavier 15 2 17 Df Saul Aquino 14 2 16 Df Rasmus Antonsen 14 0 14 Df Walter McGree 13 1 14 Df Martyn Owen 13 2 15 Df Felipe Pérez 15 1 16 Df Maciek Szymanski 9 2 11 Df Waldemar Skoras 10 2 12 Mf Alvaro Rodríguez 15 -1 14 Df Keita Hattori 9 1 10 Mf Shoji Tanaka 11 2 13 Mf Breno Freda 11 0 11 Fw Armin Seuffert 15 1 16 Mf Federico Machado 10 2 12 Fw Lilian Cazenave 13 1 14 Fw Edgar Jimenez 16 1 17 Fw Oliver Claesson 16 2 18 Fw Valerio Paredes 14 1 15 Fw Ye-jun Ji 9 1 10 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 0 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 17 40 27 58 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 68 23 45 3 3 4 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0 ======================================================================= 21 20 44 27 67 T O T A L S 18 0 69 30 45 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 10 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 60.87 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 61.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 15.1 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 17.04 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 28.09 (no second yellow) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 32.53 (no red card) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 4.51 (no red card) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 99.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 6.86 (no red card) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 34.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.01 (no red card) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 6.41 (no red card) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 66.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.82 (no red card) Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 51.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 58.7 (no red card) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 70.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 0.92 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Ye-jun Ji new match skill level = 5 Ye-jun Ji new match total level = 6 ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.86 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.08 (no red card) Df Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.89 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.37 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.81 (no red card) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.03 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.55 (no red card) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.0 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.42 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.47 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.28 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.87% Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 3.98 (no injury) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 82.26 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 99.87 (no injury) Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 31.47 (no injury) Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 12.72 (no injury) Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 40.5 (no injury) Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 30.46 (no injury) Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury) Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25% - Gk chance of injury = 5.12% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 24.92 (no injury) Df Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 30.84 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 99.17 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 71.67 (no injury) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 20.51 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 90.62 (no injury) Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 2.7 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Breno Freda is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 72.98 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 57.68 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 30.45 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oliver Claesson SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 16 - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick) 10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 21 20 44 27 63 Watford 18 0 69 30 45 Watford is using Offside Trap! Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (63 - 69) Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 45) / 3; rounded up) Brentford FC Total Attacks = 0 ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 18 0 69 30 45 Brentford FC 21 20 44 27 63 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 1 (45 - 44) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((69 - 63) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Df Saul Aquino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 26.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Federico Machado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRENTFORD FC 0 - WATFORD 1
Match Notes

Were it not for this final, Al wouldn't have enough slots to train his suspended youth players. Interesting to see if he trains them or focuses on winning the game!
Ian (Preston North End FC) 03/01 - 6:20 PM

Yikes, that is a lot of suspended players. I wonder if it has to do with the 9.25 hardness.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/06 - 2:22 PM

This looks like it could be a bruising encounter.
James (Watford) 03/07 - 1:11 PM

This a rare fixture where draws is the joint most common outcome. No other Watford vs has that. Always the draw is less than the one of the other outcome options.
James (Watford) 03/07 - 1:14 PM

12 nil - nils! 20% of all matches between us end scoreless.
James (Watford) 03/07 - 1:17 PM

BIG underBees today against the might JT!
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/08 - 12:10 AM

Our Bees see this in the preview and consider it a challenge:
Watford
• Watford are free of injuries entering today's match.
Watford
• Watford are free of injuries entering today's match.
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/08 - 12:10 AM

James had better send his players out wearing helmets.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/08 - 12:39 AM

It's the bees knees
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/08 - 6:17 AM

How many sending offs may determine the outcome.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/08 - 11:54 AM

the Bees look a bit worse for wear for this game, but you can never bet against them pulling this off.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/08 - 5:17 PM


Brentford losing on a penalty was always the most likely result.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 03/08 - 6:32 PM

I did play for that outcome!
James (Watford) 03/08 - 6:47 PM

I feel like the officiating was mean and that we didn't injure any Watford players. :-)
Congratulations JT! Well done!
Congratulations JT! Well done!
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/09 - 3:09 AM

James’ defence won the day
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/09 - 12:55 PM

Watford. That’s what I said!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/10 - 1:03 AM

James - congrats on the FA Shield win!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/10 - 1:03 AM

Congrats James
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 03/10 - 11:00 PM

Not a lot happened other than the winning penalty.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/11 - 8:36 PM