(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Southend United
Colin Scott
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Adam Murray 2 2 4 Gk Yassine Amara 8 2 10
Df Martin Persson 14 2 16 Sw Gilbert Tchato 4 2 6
Df Vagner Marcelo 12 2 14 Df Vincent Hamidou 16 2 18
Df Mbaye Dieng 8 2 10 Df Alain Teulet 8 2 10
Df Nicomedes Martino 4 2 6 Df Johan Teulet 4 0 4
Df Jean Courtial 4 2 6 Mf Ludwig Troell 8 2 10
Mf Abel Peeters 9 2 11 Mf Cyril Chadli 4 2 6
Mf Bruno Freda 8 2 10 Fw Cássio Lemos 17 2 19
Mf Taha Tagnaouti 4 2 6 Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 2 16
Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18 Fw Pedro Viera 8 2 10
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 9 2 11 Fw Marek Grabara 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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4 0 52 27 29 ROSTER TOTALS 10 6 32 16 51
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
4 0 52 27 29 T O T A L S 13 6 32 17 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Adam Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.94 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.37 (no red card)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.81 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.68 (no second yellow)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.25 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.45 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.9 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.29 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.34 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.37 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.39 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.36 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.95 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.88 (no red card)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.41 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.28 (no second yellow)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.81 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.9 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.68 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.95 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.04 (no red card)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.77 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.73 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Adam Murray: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.63 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.62 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.62 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.37 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.76 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.25 (no injury)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.66 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.96 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.56 (no injury)
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.45 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.27 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.08 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.08 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.01 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.63 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
- Defending Gk: Adam Murray SL 2
intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 4 0 52 27 29
Southend United 13 6 32 17 51
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 32)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 1 ((52 - 51) / 5); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Bruno Freda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 13 6 32 17 51
Nottingham Forest 4 0 52 27 29
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 52)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 1 ((32 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 58.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
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F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
Double header
Colin (Southend United) 02/18 - 11:01 PM
Not sure how SU won this - well, scoring one goal from one shot - but these things even themselves out…
Colin (Southend United) 02/22 - 8:52 PM
I shouldn't complain...it was a gamble playing no SW and SBY Gk and it nearly worked. After the FA Cup you deserved this, Colin.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/22 - 9:16 PM