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Watford
James Tucker
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    1   13
Sw Ogunsakin Njoku         2    2    4     Sw Artur Boniek           12    0   12
Df Felipe Pérez           15    2   17     Df Johnny Müller           8    2   10
Df Keita Hattori           8    1    9     Df Khalid Harit            8    2   10
Df Meliton Martinez        7    2    9     Df Federico Sorin          4    2    6
Df Shoichi Morita          4    2    6     Mf Cédric Kenne            9    2   11
Mf Seth Sibley             8    2   10     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     8    2   10
Mf Callum Rowles           4    2    6     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         4    2    6
Fw Edgar Jimenez          16    2   18     Mf Muziano Doni            4    2    6
Fw Claudio Prado           8    2   10     Fw Sadou Moussa            8    1    9
Fw Djonno De boer          4    2    6     Fw Eligio Palacios         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  4 41 16 34        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 26 33 19    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  7  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  4 41 16 35         T O T A L S       13 12 26 42 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.42 (no red card)

Sw Ogunsakin Njoku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.61 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.83 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.14 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.76 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.42 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.06 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.19 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.99 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.34 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.93 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.48 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.0 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)

Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.95 (no red card)

Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.01 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.35 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.92 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.53 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.61 (no red card)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 85.63 (no injury) 
Sw Ogunsakin Njoku: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.0 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 64.12 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.68 (no injury) 
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 5.51 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Shoichi Morita is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shoichi Morita new match skill level =  2
      Shoichi Morita new match total level =  4
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.65 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 64.98 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 30.04 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.38 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.25 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 3.24 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.85 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury) 
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.84 (no injury) 
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 57.1 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 72.17 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 74.91 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 70.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cédric Kenne SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18   4  39  16  35
  Derby County             13  12  26  42  19

Watford Fw Attacks = 9 (35 - 26); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 7 ((39 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Shoichi Morita
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13  12  26  42  19
  Watford                  18   4  39  16  35

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 39)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 13 ((42 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Cédric Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Krystian Sobolewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
Derby are built for the Youth Cup this season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/16 - 9:06 AM
close match
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 02/26 - 10:59 AM
 
 
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