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Nottingham Forest
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Coventry City
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          COVENTRY CITY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman            15    2   17     Gk Samir Hamdi             2    2    4
Df Thiago Boniek           7    2    9     Sw Ludovic Kompany         6    2    8
Df Martin Persson          8   -1    7     Df Saïd Mohamed            8    2   10
Df Mbaye Dieng             4    2    6     Df Alex Ganiyu             2    2    4
Mf Noah Martinez           9    1   10     Df Seydou Sonko            2    0    2
Mf Abel Peeters            4    2    6     Mf Johan Larsson           6    2    8
Mf Bruno Freda             4    2    6     Mf Aeron Moore             2    2    4
Fw Paul Dumont            14    2   16     Mf Ramiro Murillo         11   -1   10
Fw Óscar Vargas           14    2   16     Mf Dragoljub Bylyk         9   -1    8
Fw Atef Omar               9    2   11     Fw Veselin Tymchenko       7    2    9
Fw Fredrik Engberg         7    1    8     Fw Ieuan Roberts           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 22 22 51        ROSTER TOTALS       4  8 16 30 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  1  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 22 22 51         T O T A L S        4  9 17 30 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.34 (no red card)

Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.95 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.75 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.57 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.65 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.38 (no red card)

Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.28 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Atef Omar new match skill level =  5
      Atef Omar new match total level =  7

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.79 (no red card)

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.92 (no red card)

Sw Ludovic Kompany: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 28.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no red card)

Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 90.72 (no red card)

Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.35 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Seydou Sonko new match skill level =  1
      Seydou Sonko new match total level =  1

Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.53 (no second yellow)

Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 52.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)

Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.01 (no red card)

Fw Veselin Tymchenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no red card)

Fw Ieuan Roberts: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 8.16 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.14 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 69.01 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.22 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 72.71 (no injury) 
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.53 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.93 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.7 (no injury) 

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 3
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury) 
Sw Ludovic Kompany: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.76 (no injury) 
Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.58 (no injury) 
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.45 (no injury) 
Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.77 (no injury) 
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.56 (no injury) 
Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.91 (no injury) 
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury) 
Fw Veselin Tymchenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ieuan Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Hamdi SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ramiro Murillo SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17   0  22  22  47
  Coventry City            4   9  16  30  18

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 31 (47 - 16); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 1 ((22 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Martin Persson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 9.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 1.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 9.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 63.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 82.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 96.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 80.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 54 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            4   9  16  30  18
  Nottingham Forest        17   0  22  22  47

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 22)
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Coventry City Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Dragoljub Bylyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Dragoljub Bylyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Dragoljub Bylyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Dragoljub Bylyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 6  -  COVENTRY CITY 1
 
Match Notes
Yikes!
Back in 1978 Forest needed a draw at Coventry to win the Division One title - final score was 0-0
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/29 - 6:43 PM
@Aires: Damn!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/04 - 7:26 PM
Aires- don´t panic the bananas are lining up!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/06 - 11:39 AM
Big matchup today. These two managers DO NOT like each other (lately)...
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/06 - 2:50 PM
LOL @ Al
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/06 - 6:27 PM
that was close
Aires (Wycombe Wanderers) 07/10 - 8:12 AM
 
 
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