(N)
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LEWES FC BRISTOL CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gruffydd Ryan 4 2 6 Gk Yoshikatsu Mitoma 4 2 6
Sw Oisin Lundin 15 2 17 Sw Oberto Agustini 9 2 11
Df Javi Flores 14 1 15 Df Patrick LecLercq 14 2 16
Df Salvador Alvarado 9 2 11 Df Jeppe Bach 8 2 10
Df Dominik Aebischer 4 2 6 Df Joseph Kameni 4 1 5
Mf Woo Jae-sung 8 2 10 Mf Samim Skov 8 2 10
Mf Stefaan Kompany 7 2 9 Mf Nikita Yakovenko 4 2 6
Fw Jose Pérez 16 1 17 Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 15 2 17
Fw Boško Pletikosa 9 2 11 Fw Jacob Jones 13 2 15
Fw Jonathan Haruna 9 2 11 Fw Thomas Williams 9 2 11
Fw Mahmoud Sassi 4 2 6 Fw Gilbert Jones 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
6 17 32 19 45 ROSTER TOTALS 6 11 31 16 49
1 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 2 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
7 20 32 19 45 T O T A L S 9 14 31 17 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Gruffydd Ryan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 17.38 (no red card)
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.92 (no red card)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.69 (no red card)
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.56 (no red card)
Df Dominik Aebischer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.67 (no red card)
Mf Woo Jae-sung: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.84 (no red card)
Mf Stefaan Kompany: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.21 (no red card)
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)
Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.55 (no red card)
Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.19 (no red card)
Fw Mahmoud Sassi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.38 (no red card)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Yoshikatsu Mitoma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.97 (no red card)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.15 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no red card)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.14 (no red card)
Df Joseph Kameni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.97 (no red card)
Mf Nikita Yakovenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.05 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.48 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.69 (no red card)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.39 (no red card)
Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Gruffydd Ryan: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 50.59 (no injury)
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury)
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.94 (no injury)
Df Dominik Aebischer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.91 (no injury)
Mf Woo Jae-sung: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.99 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Woo Jae-sung is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Woo Jae-sung new match skill level = 4
Woo Jae-sung new match total level = 6
Mf Stefaan Kompany: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.68 (no injury)
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.44 (no injury)
Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.69 (no injury)
Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.22 (no injury)
Fw Mahmoud Sassi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.15 (no injury)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Yoshikatsu Mitoma: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 85.21 (no injury)
Sw Oberto Agustini: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.15 (no injury)
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.46 (no injury)
Df Joseph Kameni: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.47 (no injury)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.04 (no injury)
Mf Nikita Yakovenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.02 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.0 (no injury)
Fw Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.52 (no injury)
Fw Gilbert Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.67 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jose Pérez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Yoshikatsu Mitoma SL 4
intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Mislav Caleta-Car SL 15
- Defending Gk: Gruffydd Ryan SL 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 86 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 7 20 32 15 45
Bristol City FC 9 14 31 17 49
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 14 (45 - 31); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 17) / 2; rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Fw Mahmoud Sassi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Boško Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 49.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Jonathan Haruna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Boško Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Boško Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 9 14 31 17 49
Lewes FC 7 20 32 15 45
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 17 (49 - 32); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((17 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 3; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Mf Samim Skov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 49.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gilbert Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 70.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Gilbert Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LEWES FC 3 - BRISTOL CITY FC 2
Match Notes
Dohm parks the bus, Halpin sends the kids forward. Something's gotta give. Neutral ground suits nobody — that's when it gets interesting.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/20 - 6:31 PM
oof. I haven't seen this lop-sided of a prediction in a long time 15-2-0... wow
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/27 - 2:13 AM
We're summoning the Bafana Bafana magic, if it carries over from the MSWL World Cup (or the real life World Cup).
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/27 - 3:50 AM
yes it has the makings of a lopsided upset
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/27 - 11:42 AM
but who would bet against the Dohminator
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/27 - 11:42 AM
Not sure why everyone thinks this is lopsided? I think it is even
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/27 - 2:32 PM
No one likes us (except for C-Ball). We don't care.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/27 - 3:45 PM
Lopsided, because Outlaw Dave has won 5 in a row coming into this session
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/27 - 5:14 PM
That was close, but we came up short. Congrats Dave!
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/27 - 6:09 PM
Thx Jason……rolled the dice and put the SBY keeper in…….barely held on
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/27 - 6:22 PM
Halpin focusing on youth football while his league side slides. Fair play to Lewes though, 3-2 in a shootout-threat knockout takes guts. Double D's lads wanted it more.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/27 - 6:30 PM