(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
FA Shield Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Gk Gregory Reyna 8 2 10
Sw Saul Aquino 15 2 17 Sw Cristhian Dybala 11 2 13
Df Felipe Pérez 15 2 17 Df Damir Vasilj 8 2 10
Df Waldemar Skoras 10 2 12 Df Owen Sansom 6 2 8
Mf Breno Freda 11 0 11 Df Marco Sa 4 2 6
Mf Federico Machado 10 1 11 Mf Peter Bengtsson 10 2 12
Fw Edgar Jimenez 16 2 18 Mf Aliyu Edet 8 2 10
Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14 Mf Marco D'amato 4 2 6
Fw Valerio Paredes 12 -1 11 Mf Javier Jimenez 7 1 8
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 10 2 12 Fw Noah Zimmermann 7 2 9
Fw Matty Begum 9 2 11 Fw Jordan Pérez 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 17 29 22 66 ROSTER TOTALS 10 13 24 36 15
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
18 17 39 22 66 T O T A L S 10 13 31 36 15
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.79 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.23 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.66 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.14 (no red card)
Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.68 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.31 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.6 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.36 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.3 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.85 (no red card)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.23 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.86 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.47 (no red card)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.53 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.0 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.68 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.43 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.99 (no red card)
Mf Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.19 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.06 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.86 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.68 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 51.24 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.99 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.94 (no injury)
Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.73 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.6 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.96 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.93 (no injury)
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.93 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 74.41 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.19 (no injury)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.43 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.7 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.28 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury)
Mf Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.61 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.85 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.41 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Edgar Jimenez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 8
intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Peter Bengtsson SL 10
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 17 39 22 66
Carlisle United 10 13 31 36 15
Watford Fw Attacks = 35 (66 - 31); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 8 ((39 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 43
1: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 26.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 70.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
32: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
34: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
40: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
41: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 27.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
42: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
43: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 10 13 31 36 15
Watford 18 17 39 22 66
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 39)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 22) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Javier Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Javier Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 4 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
I'd vote for the Watford win, too.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/22 - 8:12 AM
Carlisle can always hope.....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/22 - 11:05 AM
'Tis a terrible thing - hope.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/23 - 2:26 AM