(N)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Watford
James Tucker
FA Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Per Holmdahl 13 2 15 Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 14 2 16 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 16 1 17
Df Festus Abubakar 13 2 15 Df Keita Hattori 15 2 17
Df Jack Nabbout 13 2 15 Df Shoichi Morita 12 2 14
Df Edwin O'Doherty 12 2 14 Mf Kevin Castex 16 2 18
Mf Óscar Cota 13 2 15 Mf Callum Rowles 10 1 11
Mf Mario Pletikosa 12 2 14 Mf Oliwer Säfström 8 2 10
Mf Marko Zabel 11 2 13 Fw Valerio Paredes 16 0 16
Fw Bassem Mkademi 14 2 16 Fw Djonno De boer 14 1 15
Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16 Fw Takao Soma 13 1 14
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 15 2 17 Fw Juliano Ganso 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 16 44 42 49 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 48 39 58
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 3 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 16 44 42 49 T O T A L S 17 0 51 41 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.78 (no second yellow)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.21 (no red card)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.51 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.59 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.26 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.12 (no red card)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.89 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.84 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.04 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.98 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.53 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.84 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.18 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.72 (no red card)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.45 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.67 (no second yellow)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.74 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.3 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.37 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.85 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.51 (no second yellow)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.33 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.92 (no injury)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.38 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.55 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.58 (no injury)
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.84 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.96 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.42 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.18 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.39 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.93 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.24 (no injury)
Mf Kevin Castex: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.13 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.0 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.06 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.42 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Djonno De boer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Djonno De boer new match skill level = 7
Djonno De boer new match total level = 8
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.7 (no injury)
Fw Juliano Ganso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.58 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 16
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13
intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 18 16 44 42 49
Watford 17 0 51 41 51
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (49 - 51)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((42 - 41) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Marko Zabel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 0 51 41 51
Crewe Alexandra FC 18 16 44 42 49
Watford Fw Attacks = 7 (51 - 44); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((41 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((51 - 49) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
A tough old semi-final but then no semi is going to be easy
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/22 - 11:42 AM
Oh and it is difficult to compute semi-final
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/22 - 12:23 PM
That feels unlucky...
James (Watford) 02/28 - 7:24 PM
Well, well, well
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/01 - 9:47 AM