(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Southend United
Colin Scott
FA Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18 Gk Alonso Lopez 14 2 16
Sw Thiago Boniek 15 2 17 Sw Glen Clarke 12 2 14
Df Martin Persson 14 2 16 Df Vincent Hamidou 16 2 18
Df Gualberto Burgos 13 2 15 Df Mauricio López 13 2 15
Df Nour Zaroury 13 2 15 Mf Diop N'day 11 2 13
Mf Noah Martinez 11 2 13 Mf Marco Arce 11 2 13
Mf Abel Peeters 9 2 11 Fw Cássio Lemos 17 2 19
Fw Atef Omar 15 2 17 Fw Jamie Behich 12 2 14
Fw Paul Dumont 13 2 15 Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14
Fw Óscar Vargas 16 2 18 Fw Ignacio Pékerman 11 2 13
Fw Keiron Chamberlain 9 2 11 Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 46 24 61 ROSTER TOTALS 16 14 33 26 76
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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21 20 46 24 61 T O T A L S 19 14 33 26 76
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.91 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.47 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.03 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.61 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.64 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.69 (no second yellow)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.31 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.96 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.33 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Keiron Chamberlain new match skill level = 5
Keiron Chamberlain new match total level = 7
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 65.74 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.76 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.06 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.9 (no red card)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.97 (no red card)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.63 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.43 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.68 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.87 (no second yellow)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.22 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.91 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.83 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.11 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.37 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.73 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.31 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.84 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.79 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.35 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Óscar Vargas is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Óscar Vargas new match skill level = 8
Óscar Vargas new match total level = 10
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 76.54 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.38 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.19 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.95 (no injury)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no injury)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.53 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.18 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.88 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.81 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Atef Omar SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 17
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
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============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 20 46 24 49
Southend United 19 14 33 26 76
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (49 - 33); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 76) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 2.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 14 33 26 76
Nottingham Forest 21 20 46 24 49
Southend United Fw Attacks = 30 (76 - 46); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 31
1: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 39.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
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E X T R A T I M E !!!!!!!!!!
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Note that in extra time, the formulas for determining how many bookings,
penalty kicks, injuries, and attacks are approximately 1/3 of the same
chance in regulation time. Its not always EXACTLY 1/3 but it will be close.
============================================================================
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Each player's level (skill level + fitness) is now reduced by their age (except for Gks - no reduction).
SBY and APP players do not get a reduction.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.93 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.24% | Random number = 84.3 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 70.62 (no red card)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 39.39 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 7.92 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 82.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 44.26 (no red card)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 86.79 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 40.67 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 55.58 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 78.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.24% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: has already been sent off and will not be checked for another booking.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.36% | Random number = 85.41 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 31.97 (no red card)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 31.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 12.86 (no red card)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 70.6 (no red card)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 25.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 60.98 (no red card)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 93.45 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 97.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 53.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 81.06 (no red card)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 56.91 (no red card)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 32.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 83.47 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 89.37 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.07%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.55%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 0.55% | Random number = 19.13 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 97.18 (no injury)
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 61.69 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 16.65 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 52.22 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 89.96 (no injury)
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 69.74 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 11.51 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 66.68 (no injury)
Fw Óscar Vargas: was injured earlier in the match and will not be checked again.
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 1.07% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 0.9%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.46%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 0.46% | Random number = 78.7 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury)
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury)
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 15.53 (no injury)
Mf Diop N'day: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 73.74 (no injury)
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 94.95 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 93.95 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 87.52 (no injury)
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 18.32 (no injury)
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 50.0 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 0.9% | Random number = 98.88 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Atef Omar SL 14
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Vincent Hamidou SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 2% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 21 19 41 23 43
Southend United 19 10 30 18 65
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 4 (43 - 30) * .33; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 18) / 2) * .33; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 39.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 10 30 18 65
Nottingham Forest 21 19 41 23 43
Southend United Fw Attacks = 8 (65 - 41) * .33; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
E N D O F E X T R A T I M E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
===============================================
===============================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T
===============================================
- Nottingham Forest Gk (Home): Kurt Östman SL 16
- Southend United Gk (Away): Alonso Lopez SL 14
************ ROUND 1 ************
Round 1: Kurt Östman (FOR) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 37 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 1 : SU - 0)
Round 1: Cássio Lemos (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 39 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 1 : SU - 1)
************ ROUND 2 ************
Round 2: Thiago Boniek (FOR) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 98 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FOR - 1 : SU - 1)
Round 2: Vincent Hamidou (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 1 : SU - 2)
************ ROUND 3 ************
Round 3: Atef Omar (FOR) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 24 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 2 : SU - 2)
Round 3: Alonso Lopez (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 80 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FOR - 2 : SU - 2)
************ ROUND 4 ************
Round 4: Martin Persson (FOR) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 61 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 3 : SU - 2)
Round 4: Kenzie McDonald (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 3 : SU - 3)
************ ROUND 5 ************
Round 5: Gualberto Burgos (FOR) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (FOR - 4 : SU - 3)
Round 5: Mauricio López (SU) steps to the spot...
Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 93 (PK BLOCKED!!) (FOR - 4 : SU - 3)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
===============================================
P K S H O O T O U T
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4 - SOUTHEND UNITED 3
Match Notes
Does Colin know there are no semifinal replays?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/18 - 12:28 AM
Thanks for the heads up
Colin (Southend United) 02/18 - 10:59 PM
We'll help you avoid extra time, Colin.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/22 - 1:45 PM
I appreciate the double meaning there, Steve.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/22 - 4:19 PM
Steve broke his promise.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/22 - 6:34 PM
Big day for SWs and GKs. Drat!
Colin (Southend United) 02/22 - 8:49 PM
I thought we had an advantage with the GK/SW advantage but injury and red card cost us so many shots. Lucked out with the penalties.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/22 - 9:07 PM