(N)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC DORCHESTER TOWN Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Smahi Regragui 16 2 18 Gk Reuben Lennon 12 2 14 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Df Vieira Mendes 13 2 15 Df Oribe Vega 17 2 19 Df Andre Ngwa 8 1 9 Df Miguel Torres 8 2 10 Df Hugo Quintero 8 2 10 Df Joel Calvo 4 2 6 Df Grégory Lloris 7 2 9 Mf Arthur Goodwin 8 2 10 Mf Bastiaan de Jong 8 2 10 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 4 2 6 Mf Michael Wass 6 1 7 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 8 2 10 Mf Nazariy Gusak 4 2 6 Fw Šime Sucic 8 2 10 Fw Torben Thygesen 14 2 16 Fw Geovanny Arley 4 2 6 Fw Aaron Jones 8 1 9 Fw Pol Ruiz 4 2 6 Fw Teun Van der berg 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 17 35 16 32 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 43 23 31 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 17 35 16 32 T O T A L S 17 0 43 26 33 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.41 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.7 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.18 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.24 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.99 (no red card) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.45 (no red card) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.49 (no red card) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.96 (no red card) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.56 (no red card) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.56 (no red card) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 3.15 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 55.04 (no red card) Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.23 (no red card) Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.55 (no red card) Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.49 (no second yellow) Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card) Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.15 (no red card) Mf Michael Wass: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 3.91 (no red card) Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no red card) Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card) Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.43 (no red card) Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 51.52 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.66 (no injury) Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.66 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.56 (no injury) Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.18 (no injury) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.42 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Šime Sucic is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.53 (no injury) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 33.64 (no injury) Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.1 (no injury) Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.77 (no injury) Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.74 (no injury) Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.86 (no injury) Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.07 (no injury) Mf Michael Wass: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury) Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.75 (no injury) Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.77 (no injury) Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.53 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17 - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Torben Thygesen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16 intRndPk = 28 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 21 17 35 16 32 Dorchester Town 17 0 43 26 33 Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap! Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 43) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 1 ((35 - 33) / 3); result rounded up Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Df Oribe Vega Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dorchester Town 17 0 43 26 33 Preston North End FC 21 17 35 16 32 Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 35) Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 5 ((26 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 3 ((43 - 32) / 5); result rounded up Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Vieira Mendes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Michael Wass Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Bastiaan de Jong Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 98.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - DORCHESTER TOWN 1 =============================================== =============================================== P E N A L T Y K I C K S H O O T O U T =============================================== - Preston North End FC Gk (Home): Smahi Regragui SL 16 - Dorchester Town Gk (Away): Reuben Lennon SL 12 ************ ROUND 1 ************ Round 1: Oribe Vega (PNE) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 25 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 1 : DOR - 0) Round 1: Torben Thygesen (DOR) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 1 : DOR - 1) ************ ROUND 2 ************ Round 2: Smahi Regragui (PNE) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 44 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 2 : DOR - 1) Round 2: Vieira Mendes (DOR) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 48 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 2 : DOR - 2) ************ ROUND 3 ************ Round 3: Tjoris Dumfried (PNE) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 89 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PNE - 2 : DOR - 2) Round 3: Reuben Lennon (DOR) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 2 : DOR - 3) ************ ROUND 4 ************ Round 4: Miguel Torres (PNE) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 3 : DOR - 3) Round 4: Andre Ngwa (DOR) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 3 : DOR - 4) ************ ROUND 5 ************ Round 5: Arthur Goodwin (PNE) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 4 : DOR - 4) Round 5: Hugo Quintero (DOR) steps to the spot... Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PNE - 4 : DOR - 5) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - DORCHESTER TOWN 1 =============================================== P K S H O O T O U T PRESTON NORTH END FC 4 - DORCHESTER TOWN 5
Match Notes
Hopefully we can give Preston a good game. Good luck Ian.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/26 - 8:01 PM
A penalties victory gets us into the quarterfinals. A bit fortunate.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/02 - 9:39 PM