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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonathan Kome          14    1   15     Gk Samir Bouaziz          14    1   15
Df Mbaye Dieng            16    0   16     Sw Oisin Lundin           11    1   12
Sw Nicomedes Martino      10    1   11     Df Cássio Alisson         13    1   14
Df Victor Rui             10    2   12     Df Jeff Gallagher         12    0   12
Df Pieter Willems          6    2    8     Df Salvador Alvarado       6    2    8
Df Fernando Bentancur      8    2   10     Mf Damian Nabbout         13    0   13
Mf Paul Simons             5    2    7     Mf Artjoms Tokar          11    2   13
Mf Ederson Fabinho        12    1   13     Mf Imed Ahmed             10    0   10
Mf Rico Santambrogio       8    1    9     Mf Woo Jae-sung            5    2    7
Fw Atef Omar               9    0    9     Fw Gregorio Caballero     13    1   14
Fw Ghaith Abid             6    2    8     Fw Jonathan Haruna         6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 46 29 17        ROSTER TOTALS      15 12 34 43 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 50 29 26         T O T A L S       16 12 34 43 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.09 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)

Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.33 (no second yellow)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.55 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)

Df Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.5 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.73 (no red card)

Mf Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.88 (no red card)

Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.64 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.54 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 29.96 (no red card)

Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.54 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.88 (no second yellow)

Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.43 (no red card)

Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.31 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)

Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.99 (no second yellow)

Mf Woo Jae-sung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.69 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.16 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Gregorio Caballero new match skill level =  7
      Gregorio Caballero new match total level =  8

Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.09 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.76 (no injury) 
Sw Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.7 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.72 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.23 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Paul Simons is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Paul Simons new match skill level =  3
      Paul Simons new match total level =  5
Mf Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.58 (no injury) 
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.54 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.34 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 50.04 (no injury) 
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.75 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.27 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.97 (no injury) 
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.36 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.35 (no injury) 
Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.23 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.21 (no injury) 
Mf Woo Jae-sung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.0 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) 
Fw Jonathan Haruna: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 16 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 14

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  50  27  26
  Lewes FC                 16  12  34  43  16

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 34)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 6 ((50 - 16) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 71.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Pieter Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Fernando Bentancur
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 16  12  34  43  16
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  50  27  26

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 50)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((43 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 3 ((34 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Salvador Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jeff Gallagher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Salvador Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Artjoms Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Woo Jae-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Woo Jae-sung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Artjoms Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Lewes walking into the City Ground. Respect the occasion, but nobody gives you nowt in football. Earn it.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/11 - 6:30 PM  
Olmec gave us two big injuries - don't think we're earned them.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/12 - 9:41 AM  
Outlaw Dave rolling into Forest thinking he can take anything. That Dohminator better have more than crocodile tears ready today.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/15 - 12:02 AM  
Olmec Steve hosting the Dohmer. Forest should handle this, but Dave has a long memory and longer grudges — I'd keep an eye on the keeper's nerves around the box.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/15 - 12:03 AM  
Lewes not expecting much here and just happy to be back in the top division
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/15 - 6:17 PM  
Dohminator nicked a point there. Olmec Steve won't be happy letting that slip at home. Old Crocodile Tears will take it though — he always does.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/16 - 6:31 PM  
A draw at home for Olmec Steve. The Dohmer rolls into Nottingham, drops a point like a calling card, and heads back to Quincy with that quiet smile of his.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/16 - 6:31 PM  
We'll take that point with gratitude.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/16 - 6:40 PM  
Steve backs up the bus in front of goal and it does the job...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/16 - 7:14 PM  
 
 
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