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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          16    1   17     Gk Kurt Östman            16    2   18
Sw Fokke Taylor           15    1   16     Df Martin Persson         13    2   15
Df Philipp Vogel           8    2   10     Df Mbaye Dieng             8    2   10
Df Sven Thoren             4    2    6     Df Nicomedes Martino       4    2    6
Mf Santiago Villa          8    2   10     Df Jean Courtial           4    2    6
Mf Alan Herdman            4    2    6     Mf Bruno Freda             8    1    9
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   15    1   16     Mf Abel Peeters            8    2   10
Fw Adam Vasilev            8    2   10     Mf Taha Tagnaouti          4    2    6
Fw Hermidio Rivera         4    2    6     Fw Óscar Vargas           16    2   18
Fw Achraf Melki            4    2    6     Fw Keiron Chamberlain      8    2   10
Fw Ryosuke Nishizawa       2    2    4     Fw Ederson Fabinho         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 16 16 42        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 37 25 34    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 16 16 16 42         T O T A L S       18  0 37 25 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 24.72 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.07 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.36 (no second yellow)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.97 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.53 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.36 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.1 (no red card)

Fw Achraf Melki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.4 (no red card)

Fw Ryosuke Nishizawa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.09 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.8 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.42 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.9 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.33 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.17 (no second yellow)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.74 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.32 (no second yellow)

Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.97 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 93.31 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.6 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.26 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.24 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.55 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.25 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.22 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.83 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury) 
Fw Achraf Melki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.25 (no injury) 
Fw Ryosuke Nishizawa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.74 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.26 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.34 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.64 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.69 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.82 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.5 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.74 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.27 (no injury) 
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.23 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.96 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             20  16  16  16  42
  Nottingham Forest        18   0  37  25  34

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 5 (42 - 37); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18   0  37  25  34
  Port Vale FC             20  16  16  16  42

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 18 (34 - 16); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 5 ((25 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 42) / 5;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bruno Freda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Bruno Freda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 54.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 54.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
PORT VALE FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Port Vale FC Gk (Home): Hyun Tae-yong SL 16

   - Nottingham Forest Gk (Away): Kurt Östman SL 16

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Hyun Tae-yong (PV) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 96 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PV - 0  :  FOR - 0)

 Round 1: Kurt Östman (FOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PV - 0  :  FOR - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Fokke Taylor (PV) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 81 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PV - 0  :  FOR - 1)

 Round 2: Óscar Vargas (FOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 17 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PV - 0  :  FOR - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi (PV) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PV - 1  :  FOR - 2)

 Round 3: Martin Persson (FOR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PV - 1  :  FOR - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Philipp Vogel (PV) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PV - 1  :  FOR - 3)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
PORT VALE FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3
 
Match Notes
Heeere's Johnny (again)
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/08 - 7:40 PM
I don't think either of us are happy with this draw
John (Port Vale FC) 02/08 - 7:47 PM
That's a long win streak you have there, John.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/14 - 8:56 PM
Someone had to advance. Well played gentlemen. I'm not going to say "Olmec Loves Steve" though...I made a promise...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/15 - 7:22 PM
Definitely got outplayed.
John (Port Vale FC) 02/15 - 10:00 PM
Thought I was going to regret not putting on GPP. Tough luck on the penalties, John.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/15 - 10:05 PM
 
 
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