MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2WCTMVL
Thursday, August 6th, 2026 - 08:39:44 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 52 // Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History LoginScores Stats TablesTeams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Rules Schedule Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(N)
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex Lauritsen          8    2   10     Gk Francisco Moreno        3    2    5
Sw Krzysztof Brozek        4    2    6     Df Quentin Mertens        13    0   13
Df Bozidar Šimic          14    2   16     Df Thiago De Paul          6    0    6
Df Abdoul N'day            8    2   10     Df Alvaro Ochoa            4    2    6
Df Stewart Stones          4    2    6     Mf Krunoslav Ivusic        6    2    8
Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16     Mf Han Gae                 3    2    5
Mf Marcos Gomez            8    2   10     Mf Pedro Calado            3    0    3
Mf Jordan Fassnacht        4    2    6     Fw Conway Roberts         15    0   15
Fw Luís Oliveira          14    2   16     Fw Francois Abdou         10    0   10
Fw Alexis Havet            8    2   10     Fw Isaias González         3    2    5
Fw Messaoud Diop           4    2    6     Fw Duje Majer              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  6 32 32 32        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 25 16 35    
       0  3  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  9 34 34 34         T O T A L S        5  0 25 16 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.38 (no red card)

Sw Krzysztof Brozek: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.04 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.42 (no red card)

Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card)

Df Stewart Stones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.3 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)

Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 63.66 (no second yellow)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.51 (no red card)

Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 89.65 (no second yellow)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francisco Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.9 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no second yellow)

Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.83 (no red card)

Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.87 (no red card)

Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.07 (no red card)

Mf Han Gae: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.32 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.26 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.49 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.47 (no red card)

Fw Isaias González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card)

Fw Duje Majer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.2 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.93 (no injury) 
Sw Krzysztof Brozek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.32 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.96 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Stones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.01 (no injury) 
Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.24 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.02 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.44 (no injury) 
Fw Messaoud Diop: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.87 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Francisco Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 54.59 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 68.97 (no injury) 
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.27 (no injury) 
Df Alvaro Ochoa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.75 (no injury) 
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury) 
Mf Han Gae: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.5 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.32 (no injury) 
Fw Isaias González: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury) 
Fw Duje Majer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bozidar Šimic SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Francisco Moreno SL 3

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alex Lauritsen SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 84 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          10   9  34  34  34
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  25  16  41

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 9 (34 - 25); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 9 ((34 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Jordan Fassnacht
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 88.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 18.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Messaoud Diop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 63.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 61.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 39.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 62.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Messaoud Diop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 16.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 55.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 33.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  25  16  41
  Dorchester Town          10   9  34  34  34

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (41 - 34); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 34) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Isaias González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Isaias González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaias González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 5  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 3
 

Match Notes

Both teams looking to secure a quarterfinal berth.
~ Andy ~ Jun 14 (Dorchester Town)  
Andy Shaw keeps it tight, grinds out results — classic one-nil merchant. Swindon will need to break that door down early or Shaw's lads will nick it and run.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 16 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Andy Shaw keeping it tight against Swindon — logical enough, though youth football tends to punish caution more than experience does.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jun 17 (Coventry City)  
That was end to end and far too exciting for me.
~ Andy ~ Jun 27 (Dorchester Town)  
 
 
Terms and Conditions