(N)
Watford
James Tucker
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mads Frost 4 2 6 Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19
Df Saul Aquino 13 2 15 Df Joel Calvo 8 2 10
Df Felipe Pérez 15 2 17 Df Harry Martyn 4 2 6
Df Keita Hattori 8 0 8 Mf Miguel López 12 2 14
Df Meliton Martinez 6 2 8 Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 8 2 10
Df Shoichi Morita 3 2 5 Mf Issa Daouda 4 2 6
Mf Seth Sibley 8 2 10 Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17
Mf Callum Rowles 3 2 5 Fw Geovanny Arley 8 2 10
Mf Edgar Jimenez 13 2 15 Fw Pol Ruiz 8 2 10
Fw Claudio Prado 8 2 10 Fw Victor Pino 4 2 6
Fw Djonno De boer 4 2 6 Fw Atsushi Morioka 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
6 0 53 30 16 ROSTER TOTALS 19 0 16 30 49
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 7 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 0 53 37 17 T O T A L S 22 0 17 30 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.72 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.09 (no red card)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.84 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.04 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.31 (no red card)
Mf Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.07 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.48 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.66 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.17 (no red card)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.07 (no red card)
Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.87 (no red card)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.17 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.25 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.36 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.54 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.65 (no red card)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 58.02 (no injury)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.24 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury)
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.84 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.94 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.09 (no injury)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no injury)
Mf Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.71 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.47 (no injury)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.52 (no injury)
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.44 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.38 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Eduardo Luna is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Eduardo Luna new match skill level = 8
Eduardo Luna new match total level = 10
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no injury)
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.47 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.01 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Atsushi Morioka is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Miguel López SL 12
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 9 0 53 37 17
Preston North End FC 22 0 17 30 42
Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 17)
Watford Mf Attacks = 4 ((37 - 30) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((53 - 42) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 21.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 92.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 77.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 0 17 30 42
Watford 9 0 53 37 17
Watford is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 53)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 17) / 5; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
Match Notes
It is nice when a plan works. But Ian was a little unlucky to see his keeper let one of 6 shots in. And would no doubt have won on penalties otherwise.
James (Watford) 02/17 - 10:53 AM