(H)
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
Southend United
Colin Scott
AP Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CHESTERFIELD FC SOUTHEND UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Niklas Herrmann 15 2 17 Gk Alonso Lopez 16 2 18 Sw Ibou Sene 10 1 11 Sw Glen Clarke 16 2 18 Df Jeff Stewart 15 0 15 Df Vincent Hamidou 13 2 15 Df Edilberto Moreno 12 0 12 Df Manuel Ortiz 12 2 14 Mf Jonatan López 16 0 16 Df Kenzie Fraser 11 2 13 Mf Erik Weber 11 0 11 Mf Claes Östberg 11 2 13 Mf Edwin O'Kelly 8 2 10 Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Fw Alfonso Mesén 16 0 16 Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Fw Gabriel Fernandinho 13 0 13 Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14 Fw Gabriel Bacca 17 0 17 Fw Kenzie McDonald 12 2 14 Fw Alberto Mina 8 2 10 Fw Roman Radomski 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 11 27 37 56 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 42 30 57 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 14 27 37 65 T O T A L S 21 21 42 30 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.28 (no red card) Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.02 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no second yellow) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.42 (no red card) Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.25 (no red card) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.72 (no red card) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card) Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.74 (no red card) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card) Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.32 (no red card) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card) Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.57 (no red card) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.87 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 20.67 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.73 (no red card) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.43 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.77 (no red card) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.61 (no red card) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.25 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.25 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.33 (no red card) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.1 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 63.02 (no injury) Sw Ibou Sene: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.26 (no injury) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.33 (no injury) Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.09 (no injury) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.9 (no injury) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.07 (no injury) Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.44 (no injury) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.99 (no injury) Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.89 (no injury) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.1 (no injury) Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.97 (no injury) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 25.02 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.49 (no injury) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.18 (no injury) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.04 (no injury) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.68 (no injury) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.9 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.3 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.87 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 17 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15 - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15 intRndPk = 81 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chesterfield FC 20 14 27 37 65 Southend United 21 21 42 30 57 Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 23 (65 - 42); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((37 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 2.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Erik Weber Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jonatan López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 16.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 39.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Alberto Mina Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 39.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 21 21 42 30 57 Chesterfield FC 20 14 27 37 65 Southend United Fw Attacks = 30 (57 - 27); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 37) / 2; rounded up) Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 65) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 30 1: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 50.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 34.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 65.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 94.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 59.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CHESTERFIELD FC 0 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
Nearly down the middle from the predictos, should be a good one.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/29 - 11:29 AM