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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kurt Östman            15    2   17     Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18
Df Thiago Boniek           6    2    8     Df André Bukari           13    2   15
Df Martin Persson          8    2   10     Df Marco Sibaja            7    1    8
Df Mbaye Dieng             3    2    5     Df Cássio Alisson          4    2    6
Mf Noah Martinez           8    2   10     Df Gaëtan Witsel           2    2    4
Mf Abel Peeters            4    2    6     Mf Luis Jarquin            7    2    9
Mf Bruno Freda             3    2    5     Mf Imed Ahmed              4    2    6
Fw Óscar Vargas           13    2   15     Fw Justice Shorunmu       14    2   16
Fw Paul Dumont            12    2   14     Mf Jean Diouf              6    2    8
Fw Atef Omar               8    2   10     Fw Fredrik Engberg         6    1    7
Fw Keiron Chamberlain      4    2    6     Fw Roberto Bonano          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 23 21 45        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 33 23 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 23 21 45         T O T A L S       21  0 33 23 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.75 (no red card)

Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.74 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.83 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.29 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no red card)

Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.92 (no red card)

Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.95 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.03 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.55 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.82 (no second yellow)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 2.55 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.29 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.28 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.26 (no red card)

Df Gaëtan Witsel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.76 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.76 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.16 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card)

Mf Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.49 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.19 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.28 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Martin Persson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Martin Persson new match skill level =  4
      Martin Persson new match total level =  6
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.11 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Noah Martinez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Noah Martinez new match skill level =  4
      Noah Martinez new match total level =  6
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.25 (no injury) 
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.24 (no injury) 
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.14 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.2 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.13 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.01 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 64.87 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.93 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.8 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no injury) 
Df Gaëtan Witsel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.84 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.13 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.47 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Justice Shorunmu is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Justice Shorunmu new match skill level =  7
      Justice Shorunmu new match total level =  9
Mf Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.86 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Bukari SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        20   0  19  17  45
  Lewes FC                 21   0  33  23  22

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 6 (45 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 5;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  33  23  22
  Nottingham Forest        20   0  19  17  45

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 3 (22 - 19); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 10.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 59.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Luis Jarquin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
woop woop - we get Lewes
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/22 - 8:01 AM
Take it easy on us….we can only hope Olmec hates Nott more than Lewes
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/22 - 3:39 PM
Olmec hates Lewes more….no doubt….losing on the PK
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/22 - 6:14 PM
Shouldn't play hard :-p
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/22 - 6:57 PM
2 apprentices injured - no hope in the next round.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/22 - 6:59 PM
Is it possible that Olmec hates BOTH managers?
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/22 - 11:31 PM
Well the 1 hard did lead to a couple injuries so best of luck…..sorry about that
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/22 - 11:57 PM
;)
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/22 - 11:57 PM
 
 
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