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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko     8    2   10     Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18
Df Goronwy Wright         14    2   16     Df Cássio Alisson         13    2   15
Df Léon Velardi            8    2   10     Df Javi Flores             8    2   10
Df Marek Murphy            8    2   10     Df Kylian Rabiot           4    2    6
Mf Denis Fellaini         14    2   16     Mf Imed Ahmed             13    2   15
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     11    2   13     Mf Damian Nabbout          8    2   10
Mf Andrej Kovac            8    2   10     Mf Hernán Sancho           4    2    6
Mf Cesar Beto              4    2    6     Fw Amadou Wagué            8    2   10
Fw Paolo Caccini           8    2   10     Fw Gregorio Caballero      8    2   10
Fw Danny Rose              4    2    6     Fw Edson Blanco            4    2    6
Fw Eddie McBride           4    2    6     Fw Daniel Abdou            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 36 45 22        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 31 31 32    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  8  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 44 45 22         T O T A L S       21  0 31 31 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 32.23 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.44 (no red card)

Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.94 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.3 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.57 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.71 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no red card)

Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.77 (no red card)

Fw Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.26 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Danny Rose new match skill level =  2
      Danny Rose new match total level =  4

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.09 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 52.22 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.57 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.05 (no red card)

Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.17 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.28 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.31 (no red card)

Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.2 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.68 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.86 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Abdou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.7 (no injury) 
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.45 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Léon Velardi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Léon Velardi new match skill level =  4
      Léon Velardi new match total level =  6
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 13.13 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.35 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.38 (no injury) 
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.76 (no injury) 
Fw Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.31 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.39 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.29 (no injury) 
Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.22 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.04 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.83 (no injury) 
Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.71 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Abdou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Daniel Abdou is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Daniel Abdou new match skill level =  2
      Daniel Abdou new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Goronwy Wright SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  40  45  20
  Lewes FC                 21   0  31  31  30

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 31)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 14 ((45 - 31) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((40 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 96.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Marek Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 17.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 41.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 61.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Cesar Beto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 77.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 25.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21   0  31  31  30
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   0  40  45  20

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 40)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Kylian Rabiot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
WST continues their soft schedule in the YC, first Blythe and now Lewes
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/01 - 5:53 PM
these two managers do not like each other....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/03 - 11:08 AM
thought I´d get that in before Al did
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/03 - 11:08 AM
interestingly we have met three times in the youth cup before with the record being 1:1:1 with Lewes having the edge on a 5-4 penalty shoot out win in the draw......
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/03 - 11:10 AM
Hopefully we can take advantage of Tymoshenko's 3.0 GA per game
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/03 - 6:07 PM
Congrats Vick...better team prevails
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/05 - 7:24 PM
Well I guess Tymoshenko was inspired by facing his old club and was determined to keep a clean sheet
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/05 - 10:13 PM
this was the only good point on an otherwise dismal session!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/05 - 10:14 PM
see you next season back in division 1 if I´m still there!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/05 - 10:14 PM
 
 
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