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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex M'Boma             7    2    9     Gk Per Holmdahl            4    2    6
Sw Jun-Seo Min             4    2    6     Sw Tommy McGree           13    2   15
Df Cristóbal Sanchez      11    0   11     Df Santiago Castillo      13    2   15
Df Marcel Pechet           7    2    9     Df Michaël Van der Heyden  7    2    9
Df Guy Herpoel             4    2    6     Df Edwin O'Doherty         4    2    6
Mf Gareth Smith            7    2    9     Mf Patrice Djemba          8    2   10
Mf Rónald Zeledon          4    2    6     Mf Mario Pletikosa         4    2    6
Fw José Borges            15    1   16     Mf Elkin Molina            2    2    4
Fw Jürg Spycher           12    0   12     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    2   16
Fw Clement Kenne           7    2    9     Fw Slava Levchenko         8    2   10
Mf Kwame Karikari          2    2    4     Fw Zvonimir Bradaric       4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  6 26 19 37        ROSTER TOTALS       6 15 30 20 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  6 26 19 37         T O T A L S        9 15 30 20 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)

Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.36 (no red card)

Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.6 (no red card)

Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.45 (no red card)

Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.15 (no red card)

Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.6 (no red card)

Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.03 (no red card)

Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.51 (no red card)

Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.23 (no red card)

Mf Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.39 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.95 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.98 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.54 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.7 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.73 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.89 (no red card)

Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.81 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.92 (no red card)

Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alex M'Boma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.83 (no injury) 
Sw Jun-Seo Min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.47 (no injury) 
Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.25 (no injury) 
Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no injury) 
Df Guy Herpoel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.18 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no injury) 
Mf Rónald Zeledon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.35 (no injury) 
Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.07 (no injury) 
Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.27 (no injury) 
Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.6 (no injury) 
Mf Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.82 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.02 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.52 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.54 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.37 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Edwin O'Doherty is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Edwin O'Doherty new match skill level =  2
      Edwin O'Doherty new match total level =  4
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.27 (no injury) 
Mf Elkin Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.32 (no injury) 
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: José Borges SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 4

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alex M'Boma SL 7

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9   6  26  19  37
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9  15  28  20  32

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 9 (37 - 28); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 42.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw José Borges
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       9  15  28  20  32
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9   6  26  19  37

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 6 (32 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 9.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Gk (Home): Alex M'Boma SL 7

   - Crewe Alexandra FC Gk (Away): Per Holmdahl SL 4

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: José Borges (DAG) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 89 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 1  :  CRE - 0)

 Round 1: Damien Sanchez (CRE) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 1  :  CRE - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Jürg Spycher (DAG) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 2  :  CRE - 1)

 Round 2: Tommy McGree (CRE) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 2  :  CRE - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Cristóbal Sanchez (DAG) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 3  :  CRE - 2)

 Round 3: Santiago Castillo (CRE) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 87 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 3  :  CRE - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Alex M'Boma (DAG) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 79 (PK BLOCKED!!) (DAG - 3  :  CRE - 3)

 Round 4: Patrice Djemba (CRE) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 3  :  CRE - 4)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Marcel Pechet (DAG) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 36 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 4  :  CRE - 4)

 Round 5: Slava Levchenko (CRE) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 43 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (DAG - 4  :  CRE - 5)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 4  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 5
 
Match Notes
I think this game is edging towards Dagenham
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/16 - 8:17 AM
My heart says daggers my head say Carl gets the win
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/22 - 3:59 AM
Lucky, lucky Crewe.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/22 - 6:09 PM
 
 
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