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James Tucker
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost              8    2   10     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       16    1   17     Sw Walter Olivera         16    2   18
Df Keita Hattori          12    2   14     Df Hayden Goodwin         17    2   19
Df Walter McGree          12    0   12     Df Eliecer Gutierrez      12    2   14
Df Florian Ramelow        12    0   12     Df Abdul Otu              11    2   13
Mf Tin Perisic            15   -1   14     Mf Arthur Goodwin         15    2   17
Mf Seth Sibley            10    2   12     Mf Milt Alvarez           12    2   14
Fw Valerio Paredes        16    2   18     Fw Eduardo Luna           14    2   16
Fw Takao Soma             15    2   17     Fw Geovanny Arley         11    2   13
Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    0   13     Fw Pol Ruiz               10    2   12
Fw Claudio Prado          10    2   12     Fw Atsushi Morioka         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 55 26 60        ROSTER TOTALS      19 18 46 31 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 64 26 61         T O T A L S       22 18 46 31 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.79 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.61 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.66 (no red card)

Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.25 (no red card)

Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.35 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.58 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.96 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.92 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.65 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.23 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.61 (no red card)

Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.62 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.07 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.71 (no red card)

Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.93 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.85 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.63 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.96 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.8 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) 
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.6 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.23 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.6 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.69 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.5 (no injury) 
Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.7 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.53 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no injury) 
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.56 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.97 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.26 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 8

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  10   0  64  26  61
  Preston North End FC     22  18  46  31  51

Watford Fw Attacks = 15 (61 - 46); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((64 - 51) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Florian Ramelow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Walter McGree
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Florian Ramelow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 80.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     22  18  46  31  51
  Watford                  10   0  64  26  61

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 64)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 34.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
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