(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Youth Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Noah Okafor 4 2 6 Gk Ian Valle 4 2 6
Sw Thiago Boniek 16 2 18 Sw Piotr Sobolewski 12 0 12
Df Victor Rui 7 -1 6 Df Festus Abubakar 12 2 14
Df Pieter Willems 4 2 6 Df Magnus Waering 8 2 10
Mf Marwan Sforza 7 2 9 Df Dominique Coltorti 4 2 6
Mf Fernando Bentancur 7 2 9 Mf Ivan Jackson 8 2 10
Df Paul Simons 2 2 4 Mf Clement Harouna 4 2 6
Fw Ederson Fabinho 13 2 15 Mf Mouhamed Alaoui 2 2 4
Fw Paul Dumont 14 2 16 Fw Bassem Mkademi 13 2 15
Fw Rico Santambrogio 7 2 9 Fw Olivier Havet 8 2 10
Fw Ghaith Abid 4 2 6 Fw Kalle Ljungberg 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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6 18 16 18 46 ROSTER TOTALS 6 12 30 20 31
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
6 18 16 18 46 T O T A L S 9 12 30 20 34
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.83 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.35 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.71 (no second yellow)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.01 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.78 (no red card)
Df Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.28 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.38 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.94 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.63 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.31 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.62 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.1 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.28 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.35 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.25 (no second yellow)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.45 (no red card)
Mf Mouhamed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.32 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.62 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.98 (no red card)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.36 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.07 (no injury)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.91 (no injury)
Df Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.67 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.08 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.81 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ian Valle: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.32 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.34 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.03 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.16 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.24 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.39 (no injury)
Mf Mouhamed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.15 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no injury)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.13 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 14
- Defending Gk: Ian Valle SL 4
intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 100 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Bassem Mkademi SL 13
- Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 4
intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 6 18 16 18 46
Crewe Alexandra FC 9 12 30 20 34
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (46 - 30); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 20) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 34) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 9 12 30 20 34
Nottingham Forest 6 18 16 18 46
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 18 (34 - 16); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 46) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 7.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 11.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 49.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 82.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Bassem Mkademi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
Match Notes
We seldom get the upper hand over Forest
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/08 - 9:12 AM
Thank goodness for the penalty because their sweeper played a blinder
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/14 - 7:57 PM
And Nottingham continue to beat us but we did come closer than expected. Now go win it Steve 😀
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/15 - 10:12 AM