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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James          14    2   16     Gk Federico Curbelo        7    2    9
Sw Ian Butler              4    2    6     Df Joël Van den berg       9    2   11
Df Luis Ballestro          7    2    9     Df Quentin Mertens         7   -1    6
Df Giancarlo Astua         3    2    5     Df Thiago De Paul          3    2    5
Mf Acario Finizio          7    2    9     Mf Virgil Hoekstra         9    2   11
Mf Stefan Karas            7    2    9     Mf Toby Llewellyn          7    0    7
Mf Duje Kramaric           3    2    5     Mf Krunoslav Ivusic        3    2    5
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        12    2   14     Mf Pedro Calado            2    2    4
Fw Jakub Fabianski        14    1   15     Fw Yuto Kawashima          9    2   11
Fw Salvatore De luca       7    2    9     Fw Francois Abdou          7    2    9
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez       4    2    6     Fw Christian Frei          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  6 14 23 44        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 22 27 27    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  8 15 23 44         T O T A L S        9  0 22 27 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.35 (no red card)

Sw Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.34 (no red card)

Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.35 (no red card)

Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.98 (no red card)

Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.83 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.45 (no red card)

Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.48 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.19 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.46 (no red card)

Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.51 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.28 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card)

Df Joël Van den berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.52 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.03 (no red card)

Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.46 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.78 (no red card)

Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.48 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.86 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.55 (no red card)

Fw Christian Frei: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 3.71 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.98 (no injury) 
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.95 (no injury) 
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) 
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.25 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.44 (no injury) 
Mf Duje Kramaric: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.92 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.76 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.81 (no injury) 
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.33 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 13.8 (no injury) 
Df Joël Van den berg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.6 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.53 (no injury) 
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.76 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.03 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.63 (no injury) 
Mf Krunoslav Ivusic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.72 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Calado: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.25 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.48 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Frei: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jakub Fabianski SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 7

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Joël Van den berg SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16   8  15  23  44
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  22  27  27

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 22 (44 - 22); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 53.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 6.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 23.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 91.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 18.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Alfonso Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  22  27  27
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16   8  15  23  44

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (27 - 15); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 44) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 61.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Yuto Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Christian Frei
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 4  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
The Youth Cup is a target.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/14 - 7:42 AM
 
 
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