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Blyth Spartans AFC
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BLYTH SPARTANS AFC                         NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Clinton Walker          2    2    4     Gk Craig Carsley           7    2    9
Df Kurt Kelly              7    2    9     Sw Walter Wilson           4    2    6
Df Duško Bondarenko        2    2    4     Df Erik Richter           13    2   15
Df Takao Shoji             2    2    4     Df Daley Hiddink           7    2    9
Df Jorge Figo             13   -1   12     Df Sakariya Hedman         4    2    6
Df Hassen Mkademi         10   -1    9     Mf Shigeo Makino          10    2   12
Mf Smahi Ait               6    1    7     Mf Clint Smith             7   -1    6
Mf Per Alexandersson       2    2    4     Mf Tranquillo Fernandes    3    2    5
Mf Jamal Dirar            11   -1   10     Fw Greg Rashford          13    1   14
Fw Romain Fajr             7    2    9     Fw Christian Egli          7    2    9
Fw Weston Ross             7    2    9     Fw Thomas Richter          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       4  0 38 21 18        ROSTER TOTALS       9  6 30 23 28    
       1  1  0  1  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  1 38 22 20         T O T A L S        9  6 30 23 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Clinton Walker: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 19.77 (no red card)

Df Kurt Kelly: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 72.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 58.81 (no red card)

Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 95.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 8.9 (no red card)

Df Takao Shoji: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 65.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 9.89 (no red card)

Df Jorge Figo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 68.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no red card)

Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 45.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 58.19 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 53.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 59.02 (no red card)

Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 81.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 94.19 (no red card)

Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Romain Fajr: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 99.42 (no red card)

Fw Weston Ross: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 22.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.91 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.14 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no red card)

Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.52 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.49 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.57 (no red card)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.65 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.23 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.13 (no red card)

Fw Christian Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.57 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Clinton Walker: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 78.07 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.18 (no injury) 
Df Duško Bondarenko: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 52.86 (no injury) 
Df Takao Shoji: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury) 
Df Jorge Figo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.59 (no injury) 
Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Ait: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 94.7 (no injury) 
Mf Per Alexandersson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.73 (no injury) 
Fw Romain Fajr: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 5.24 (no injury) 
Fw Weston Ross: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 39.36 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 56.52 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 13.31 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 68.37 (no injury) 
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.27 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 46.95 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 83.19 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 85.97 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Egli: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 26.69 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Richter: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 96.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jorge Figo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 7

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Erik Richter SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Clinton Walker SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Blyth Spartans AFC       5   0  38  22  20
  Northampton Town FC      9   6  30  23  36

Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 30)
Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Kurt Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      9   6  30  23  36
  Blyth Spartans AFC       5   0  38  22  20

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 38)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((30 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 98.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Daley Hiddink
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 6.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Erik Richter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Shigeo Makino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Blyth Spartans AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 69.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 0  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 3
 
Match Notes
Blyth have neve4 won this &ixturenis 5oday the day. Don’t think so 4-0 compo I say
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/22 - 4:02 AM
Cheers Graham decent prediction
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/22 - 10:06 PM
 
 
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