(H)
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
FA Cup Quarterfinals Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LEWES FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz 16 2 18 Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18
Sw Nazariy Kozak 12 2 14 Sw Kurt Östman 0 2 0
Df Javi Flores 14 2 16 Df Gualberto Burgos 8 1 9
Df Cássio Alisson 14 2 16 Df Victor Rui 7 -1 6
Df Rodrygo Paulinho 10 1 11 Df Nour Zaroury 6 2 8
Mf Imed Ahmed 13 2 15 Df Vagner Marcelo 5 2 7
Mf Damian Nabbout 11 2 13 Mf Bruno Freda 8 2 10
Fw Roberto Bonano 16 2 18 Mf Noah Martinez 8 2 10
Fw Héctor Vasquez 13 2 15 Mf Marwan Sforza 7 2 9
Fw Shinya Soma 13 2 15 Fw Fernando Bentancur 5 2 7
Fw Gregorio Caballero 11 2 13 Fw Fredrik Engberg 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 14 43 28 61 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 30 29 13
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
21 14 43 28 70 T O T A L S 18 3 34 29 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 79.67 (no red card)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.97 (no red card)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.49 (no red card)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.36 (no red card)
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.57 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Rodrygo Paulinho new match skill level = 5
Rodrygo Paulinho new match total level = 6
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.64 (no red card)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.1 (no red card)
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.27 (no red card)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.65 (no red card)
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.45 (no red card)
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.23 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.83 (no red card)
Sw Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no red card)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.76 (no red card)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.49 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.06 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.28 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.32 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.11 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.38 (no red card)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury)
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.87 (no injury)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.78 (no injury)
Df Rodrygo Paulinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.29 (no injury)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.43 (no injury)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.95 (no injury)
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.07 (no injury)
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.43 (no injury)
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.57 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.35 (no injury)
Sw Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.27 (no injury)
Df Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.59 (no injury)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.96 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.58 (no injury)
Df Vagner Marcelo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.54 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.17 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.69 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.4 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.6 (no injury)
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.48 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gualberto Burgos SL 8
- Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 21 14 38 28 70
Nottingham Forest 18 3 34 29 13
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 36 (70 - 34); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 9 ((38 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 45
1: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Javi Flores
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Rodrygo Paulinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Javi Flores
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Df Javi Flores
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 38 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Df Rodrygo Paulinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
33: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
36: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
38: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target)
39: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
40: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
41: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target)
42: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
43: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
44: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
45: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 36% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 3 34 29 13
Lewes FC 21 14 38 28 70
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 38)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 70) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LEWES FC 5 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
It's tough to bet against Lewes in the FA Cup. I should know, we've lost a couple ourselves.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/09 - 1:57 PM
yes Lewes will be hoping to get their greasy claws on another trophy. Sherwood´s finest will have to be at their best
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/13 - 8:30 PM
Forest will have to get creative.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/14 - 3:01 PM
I see this going to PKs….hoping for some good fortune to prevail
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/14 - 3:11 PM
Wow…..Nott chose not to show….take that any day
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/14 - 6:33 PM
League survival a priority and not enough depth to compete in all games.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/14 - 7:49 PM