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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
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Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15     Gk Jordan Rose            14    2   16
Sw Tommy McGree           13    2   15     Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17
Df Santiago Castillo      13    2   15     Df Dragan Jedjav          14    1   15
Df Gabriel Lind           10    1   11     Df Tobias Damish          13    1   14
Df David O'Reilly         10    2   12     Df Chad Moore             13    1   14
Mf Stefan Boniek          13    2   15     Mf Shoji Tanaka           14    1   15
Mf Thomas Robinson        10    2   12     Mf Cédric Kamga           13    1   14
Mf Patrice Djemba          8    2   10     Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12
Fw Joel Zamora            14    2   16     Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    2   15
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    2   15     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    1   14
Fw Yusuf Kalu             12    0   12     Fw Jack Williams          12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 38 37 43        ROSTER TOTALS      16 17 43 41 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 38 39 50         T O T A L S       18 17 43 41 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.7 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.15 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Df David O'Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.37 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.47 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.39 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.54 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.91 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.56 (no second yellow)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.78 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.25 (no red card)

Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no red card)

Df Chad Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.51 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.86 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.43 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.83 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.33 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.19 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.08 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.77 (no injury) 
Df David O'Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.33 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.4 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.85 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.2 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.43 (no injury) 
Fw Yusuf Kalu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.58 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.57 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.48 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.88 (no injury) 
Df Chad Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.16 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.1 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.19 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.86 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.44 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joel Zamora SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 14

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  15  38  39  50
  Brentford FC             18  17  43  41  43

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 7 (50 - 43); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Yusuf Kalu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18  17  43  41  43
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  15  38  39  50

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 5 (43 - 38); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((41 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Cédric Kamga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Can’t buy a win against Oh-Be-Wan
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/16 - 8:15 AM
There once was a man from Brentford
John (Port Vale FC) 06/22 - 11:57 AM
Congratulations Carl. We were hoping we could steal this on the road but not our day. Good luck in the next round!
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/22 - 10:11 PM
Well that was a pleasant surprise
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/23 - 6:43 AM
 
 
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