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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Héctor Medrano         15    2   17     Gk Adam Murray             3    2    5
Sw Ricardo Gomes           4    2    6     Df Martin Persson         13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           10    2   12     Df Nicomedes Martino       8    2   10
Df Saul Arteaga            7   -2    5     Df Jean Courtial           8    2   10
Df Kevin Flachat           4    2    6     Mf Taha Tagnaouti          7    2    9
Mf Robin de Jong          10    2   12     Mf Marwan Sforza           4    2    6
Mf Sung Yong               8    1    9     Mf Fernando Bentancur      4    2    6
Mf Steen Clausen           7    2    9     Fw Atef Omar              13    2   15
Mf Alfie Campbell          4    2    6     Fw Paul Dumont            16    2   18
Fw Mario Barrios           7    2    9     Fw Ederson Fabinho         8    2   10
Fw Marcos Talavera         4    2    6     Mf Rico Santambrogio       2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  6 23 36 15        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 35 25 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  6 23 36 15         T O T A L S        5  0 35 25 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.91 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.78 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.69 (no red card)

Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.35 (no red card)

Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.18 (no red card)

Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card)

Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.09 (no red card)

Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.3 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.42 (no red card)

Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.14 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.7 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Adam Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.76 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.6 (no red card)

Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.96 (no red card)

Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.48 (no red card)

Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.56 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.22 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.24 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.16 (no red card)

Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.73 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.82 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.64 (no injury) 
Df Saul Arteaga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.07 (no injury) 
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.55 (no injury) 
Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.06 (no injury) 
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.51 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.95 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Adam Murray: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.18 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.91 (no injury) 
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.81 (no injury) 
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.62 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jean Courtial is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jean Courtial new match skill level =  4
      Jean Courtial new match total level =  6
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.32 (no injury) 
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.62 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.65 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) 
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jeff Stewart SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Adam Murray SL 3

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 15

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17   6  23  36  15
  Nottingham Forest        5   0  31  25  43

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 31)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 37.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 80.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 17.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        5   0  31  25  43
  Chesterfield FC          17   6  23  36  15

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 20 (43 - 23); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 15) / 5); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Jean Courtial
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 3  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 5
 
Match Notes
This was a gamble and I guessed wrong but luckily it went our way.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/28 - 7:50 PM
 
 
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