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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski          14    2   16     Gk Yassine Amara          16    2   18
Sw Ricardo Xavier          9    2   11     Sw Gilbert Tchato         13    2   15
Df Christian Hennessey    14    2   16     Df Vincent Hamidou        12    2   14
Df Philippe Fabinho       14    2   16     Df Johan Teulet           11    2   13
Df Maciek Szymanski       12    2   14     Df Mauricio López         10    2   12
Df Kazu Fukunishi         11    2   13     Df Alain Teulet            9    2   11
Mf Victor Moreira         11    2   13     Mf Orlando Valencia       11    2   13
Mf Paul Mahamat           15    2   17     Mf Nuno Miguel Vara        9    2   11
Fw Miguel Díaz            14    2   16     Fw Percy Maguire          15    2   17
Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    2   15     Fw Pedro Viera            12    2   14
Fw Per Seuffert            9    2   11     Fw Marek Grabara          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 11 59 30 42        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 50 24 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 11 59 30 51         T O T A L S       21 15 50 24 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.18 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.88 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.98 (no red card)

Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.49 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.39 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.33 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no red card)

Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.59 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.31 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)

Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.83 (no second yellow)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 6.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.57 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.81 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.42 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.48 (no second yellow)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.34 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.16 (no red card)

Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.65 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Miguel Vara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.71 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 55.21 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.76 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.88 (no injury) 
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.59 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.07 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.53 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.08 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.88 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.15 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury) 
Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.19 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 78.49 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.83 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.4 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mauricio López is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Mf Orlando Valencia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.18 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Miguel Vara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.38 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.47 (no injury) 
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Mahamat SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 15
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 14

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             19  11  59  30  51
  Southend United          21  15  50  24  44

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 1 (51 - 50); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 5 ((59 - 44) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Philippe Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Philippe Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Victor Moreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          21  15  50  24  44
  Brentford FC             19  11  59  30  51

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 59)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
To be honest, with the start of the Youth Cup this session, we could have done without this.
Colin (Southend United) 02/07 - 7:43 PM  
Another tough one for our poor Bees...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/14 - 5:59 PM  
Yes - SU had the chance last week and messed up.
Well done Al.
Colin (Southend United) 02/14 - 8:22 PM  
Fortunate to survive and advance. Good game Colin.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/14 - 9:19 PM  
 
 
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