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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Federico Curbelo        3    2    5     Gk Manuel Zakaria         12    2   14
Df Secundino López        13    0   13     Sw Mitsuo Soma            10    2   12
Df Hajime Tanaka           8    2   10     Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior 5    2    7
Df Quentin Mertens         3    2    5     Df Jonas Gomes             5    2    7
Mf Etienne Willems        10    1   11     Df Luis Ballestro          3    2    5
Mf Gustavo Moreno          7    2    9     Mf Acario Finizio          4    2    6
Mf Virgil Hoekstra         5    2    7     Mf Stefan Karas            3    2    5
Mf Toby Llewellyn          3    2    5     Fw Vladimir Ureña          8    2   10
Fw Valeriy Yastenko       13    0   13     Fw Héctor Masis            5    2    7
Fw Conway Roberts          8    2   10     Fw Salvatore De luca       3    2    5
Fw Maxi Olivera            6    2    8     Fw Bradley Pickford        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  0 28 32 31        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 19 11 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  1  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  0 28 32 31         T O T A L S       14 12 19 12 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.6 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.03 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.83 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.13 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.51 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.77 (no red card)

Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.43 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no red card)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.11 (no red card)

Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.03 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.82 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.4 (no red card)

Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.18 (no second yellow)

Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.41 (no red card)

Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.44 (no red card)

Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.22 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.51 (no red card)

Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.53 (no red card)

Fw Bradley Pickford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.0 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.66 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.73 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Quentin Mertens loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Quentin Mertens new match skill level =  2
      Quentin Mertens new match total level =  4
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.09 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.65 (no injury) 
Mf Virgil Hoekstra: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.45 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.52 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.22 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no injury) 
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.26 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.1 (no injury) 
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.29 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury) 
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.02 (no injury) 
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.85 (no injury) 
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.03 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley Pickford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Secundino López SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vladimir Ureña SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 3

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  27  32  31
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  19  12  35

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (31 - 19); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((32 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Virgil Hoekstra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 20.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 96.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  12  19  12  35
  Swindon Town FC          5   0  27  32  31

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (35 - 27); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 2.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Bradley Pickford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 77.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Bradley Pickford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 89.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Vladimir Ureña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 1.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
SWINDON TOWN FC 2  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Swindon Town FC Gk (Home): Federico Curbelo SL 3

   - Oldham Athletic AFC Gk (Away): Manuel Zakaria SL 12

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Secundino López (SWI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 1  :  OLA - 0)

 Round 1: Manuel Zakaria (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 1  :  OLA - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Valeriy Yastenko (SWI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 58 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2  :  OLA - 1)

 Round 2: Mitsuo Soma (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2  :  OLA - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Etienne Willems (SWI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 77 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SWI - 2  :  OLA - 2)

 Round 3: Vladimir Ureña (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 2  :  OLA - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Hajime Tanaka (SWI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 44 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 3  :  OLA - 3)

 Round 4: Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 64% | Random number = 30 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SWI - 3  :  OLA - 4)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Conway Roberts (SWI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 87 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SWI - 3  :  OLA - 4)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 2  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
SWINDON TOWN FC 3  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 4
 
Match Notes
Our young players were heroic. They still have the right to dream!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/28 - 6:22 PM
 
 
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