(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION PRESTON NORTH END FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18 Gk Smahi Regragui 16 2 18 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 14 2 16 Df Michael Addo 12 2 14 Df Oribe Vega 17 2 19 Df Eric Aidoo 10 2 12 Df Abdul Otu 10 2 12 Df Óscar Cespedes 10 2 12 Fw Miguel López 11 2 13 Mf Ibrahim Yusuf 12 2 14 Fw Angus McKay 11 2 13 Mf William Gomez 11 2 13 Mf Leif Andersen 10 2 12 Mf Raouf Salem 10 2 12 Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck 9 2 11 Fw Elliot Wilkins 19 2 21 Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan 12 0 12 Fw Hideaki Endo 12 2 14 Fw Heorhiy Kozak 10 2 12 Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 1 13 Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 38 39 48 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 31 23 62 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 18 38 39 60 T O T A L S 18 16 31 23 62 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.66 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.23 (no red card) Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.52 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.26 (no red card) Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.44 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.03 (no red card) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.36 (no red card) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.33 (no red card) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.13 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.8 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.7 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.22 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.17 (no red card) Fw Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.59 (no red card) Fw Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.59 (no red card) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.96 (no red card) Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.27 (no red card) Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.85 (no red card) Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.83 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.98 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.9 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no injury) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury) Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.82 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.36 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no injury) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.35 (no injury) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.36 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.93 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.5 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury) Fw Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.53 (no injury) Fw Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.28 (no injury) Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.51 (no injury) Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.94 (no injury) Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.03 (no injury) Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16 intRndPk = 58 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17 - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16 intRndPk = 92 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 38 39 60 Preston North End FC 18 16 31 23 62 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 29 (60 - 31); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 8 ((39 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 62) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 37 1: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf William Gomez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 35: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 18 16 31 23 62 Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 38 39 60 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 24 (62 - 38); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Jung-hwan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Miguel López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
Match Notes
Cheers to a good match Ian!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/11 - 3:01 PM
I would consider us lucky. Could have easily gone to you, Ian.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 6:15 PM
Gut wrencher for the Iman in the 93rd minute……hmmm
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/15 - 8:35 PM