(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Queens Park Rangers
James White
FA Shield Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED QUEENS PARK RANGERS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alonso Lopez 16 2 18 Gk Toby Barmby 16 2 18 Sw Glen Clarke 16 2 18 Sw Kylian Konate 13 2 15 Df Vincent Hamidou 12 2 14 Df Kurt Mörner 11 2 13 Df Manuel Ortiz 12 2 14 Df Roman Piatek 8 2 10 Df Kenzie Fraser 11 2 13 Mf Darrell Sinclair 10 2 12 Mf Claes Östberg 11 2 13 Mf Ogenyi Kabiru 8 2 10 Mf Randall Navarrete 15 2 17 Fw Sebastiaan Jansen 11 2 13 Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Fw Eirwyn Hill 11 2 13 Fw Rónald Aguilera 12 2 14 Fw Jacques Mahamat 8 2 10 Fw Kenzie McDonald 11 2 13 Fw Chuck Kane 7 2 9 Fw Roman Radomski 10 2 12 Fw Paul Chaffersey 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 41 30 55 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 23 22 54 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 21 18 41 30 64 T O T A L S 18 15 23 22 54 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 39.51 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.56 (no red card) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.8 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.36 (no red card) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.91 (no red card) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.12 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.04 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.42 (no red card) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.56 (no red card) ******* QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.09 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.36 (no red card) Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.64 (no red card) Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.05 (no red card) Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.67 (no red card) Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.29 (no red card) Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.31 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.84 (no second yellow) Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.81 (no red card) Fw Eirwyn Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.56 (no red card) Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.79 (no red card) Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card) Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.78 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 88.6 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.27 (no injury) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.86 (no injury) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.86 (no injury) Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.8 (no injury) Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.1 (no injury) Mf Randall Navarrete: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.3 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.97 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.32 (no injury) Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no injury) ******* QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 62.96 (no injury) Sw Kylian Konate: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.27 (no injury) Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.04 (no injury) Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.59 (no injury) Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury) Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.45 (no injury) Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.09 (no injury) Fw Eirwyn Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.41 (no injury) Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.57 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Chuck Kane is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.44 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Randall Navarrete SL 15 - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kurt Mörner SL 11 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 21 18 41 30 64 Queens Park Rangers 18 15 23 22 54 Southend United Fw Attacks = 41 (64 - 23); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 45 1: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Randall Navarrete Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 28: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 29: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 39: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 42: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 43: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 44: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 45: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) ******* QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Queens Park Rangers 18 15 23 22 54 Southend United 21 18 41 30 64 Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 41); result rounded up Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 64) / 3; rounded up) Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 13 1: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 14.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Jacques Mahamat Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Sebastiaan Jansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Chuck Kane Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 3 - QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
Match Notes
It’s not worth many CP but through to the next round
Colin (Southend United) 06/22 - 8:34 PM