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Crewe Alexandra FC
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FA Shield Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl           10    2   12     Gk Artyom Szczesny        14    2   16
Sw Piotr Sobolewski       13    2   15     Sw Walter Wilson          12   -1   11
Df Festus Abubakar        13    2   15     Df Gabriele Gentiloni     13    2   15
Df Ricardo Vogado         10    2   12     Df Edoardo Vecchi         12    2   14
Df Edwin O'Doherty         9    2   11     Df Sakariya Hedman         7    2    9
Mf Óscar Cota             13    2   15     Mf Tranquillo Fernandes    9    2   11
Mf Ivan Jackson           12    2   14     Mf Wayne Brees             8    2   10
Mf Marko Zabel             7    2    9     Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun       7    2    9
Fw Olivier Havet          14    2   16     Mf Cristóbal Gomez         7    2    9
Fw Obed Issaka            12    2   14     Fw Anir Tahiri            13    2   15
Fw Gonzalo Lopez          14    2   16     Fw Bedwyr Brown            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 15 38 38 46        ROSTER TOTALS      16 11 38 39 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 38 40 53         T O T A L S       16 11 38 39 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.56 (no red card)

Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.91 (no red card)

Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.95 (no red card)

Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.13 (no red card)

Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.3 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.75 (no red card)

Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.9 (no red card)

Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.03 (no red card)

Fw Obed Issaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.84 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.71 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.94 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card)

Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.21 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.67 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.42 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.35 (no red card)

Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card)

Mf Cristóbal Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.95 (no red card)

Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.55 (no second yellow)

Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.12 (no injury) 
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.9 (no injury) 
Df Ricardo Vogado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.04 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.18 (no injury) 
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.84 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury) 
Mf Marko Zabel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.63 (no injury) 
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.91 (no injury) 
Fw Obed Issaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.46 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.85 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.54 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no injury) 
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.49 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.83 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury) 
Mf Cristóbal Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.02 (no injury) 
Fw Anir Tahiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.74 (no injury) 
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Olivier Havet SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 14

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriele Gentiloni SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  38  40  53
  Northampton Town FC      16  11  38  39  25

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 15 (53 - 38); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((40 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 5 ((38 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ricardo Vogado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 84.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Obed Issaka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      16  11  38  39  25
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  38  40  53

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 38)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Cautious Carl versus Compi — one overthinks everything, the other thinks nothing at all. Somewhere in that gap is a football match.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/06 - 6:31 PM  
😂😂 we don’t stand a chance
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/06 - 6:37 PM  
First game of a double cup header
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/08 - 9:20 AM  
Cautious Carl grinding out a 1-0 at home. Compi rushing into another defeat without thought, as is tradition. The rivalry has a pattern now.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/13 - 6:30 PM  1
That’s just mean
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 06/13 - 8:27 PM  
 
 
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