(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Watford
James Tucker
FA Cup Round 2 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Smahi Regragui 16 2 18 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 13 1 14 Sw Saul Aquino 12 2 14 Df Oribe Vega 16 2 18 Df Felipe Pérez 12 1 13 Df Abdul Otu 10 2 12 Df Waldemar Skoras 11 2 13 Fw Angus McKay 11 2 13 Df Alain Fauché 15 1 16 Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck 9 2 11 Df Victor Bach 10 1 11 Mf Arthur Goodwin 7 2 9 Mf Hirving Borgetti 12 0 12 Fw Heorhiy Kozak 10 2 12 Mf Dennis Olsen 11 0 11 Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12 Fw Julien De Boeck 14 2 16 Fw Quique Diez 10 1 11 Fw Matty Begum 13 0 13 Fw Owen Bennett 8 2 10 Fw Edgar Jimenez 10 2 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 14 30 20 58 ROSTER TOTALS 18 14 53 23 41 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 14 33 21 63 T O T A L S 21 14 53 23 41 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.25 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.78 (no red card) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.72 (no red card) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.59 (no red card) Fw Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.14 (no red card) Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no red card) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.78 (no red card) Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.83 (no red card) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.69 (no red card) Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no red card) Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Owen Bennett new match skill level = 4 Owen Bennett new match total level = 6 ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.33 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.28 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.41 (no red card) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.06 (no red card) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.2 (no second yellow) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.99 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.96 (no red card) Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.66 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.9 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.6 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.04 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no injury) Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.13 (no injury) Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.52 (no injury) Fw Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.76 (no injury) Mf Karl-Johan Allbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.0 (no injury) Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.19 (no injury) Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.74 (no injury) Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.55 (no injury) Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.85 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.14 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.3 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no injury) Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.93 (no injury) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.7 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.68 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.79 (no injury) Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.9 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.79 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.0 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 16 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16 intRndPk = 41 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15 - Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16 intRndPk = 69 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 18 14 33 21 59 Watford 21 14 53 23 41 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 6 (59 - 53); result rounded up Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 23) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 41) / 3; rounded up) Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Angus McKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 21 14 53 23 41 Preston North End FC 18 14 33 21 59 Watford Fw Attacks = 8 (41 - 33); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((23 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 59) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Mf Dennis Olsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
Was justice done today?
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/09 - 12:25 AM
No
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/09 - 12:55 AM
Glad everyone agrees!
James (Watford) 06/09 - 7:34 AM