(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
FA Cup Round 2 Replay
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alberto Flores 14 2 16 Gk Manuel Zakaria 14 2 16
Sw Atsushi Oshima 7 2 9 Df Faryd Cuadrado 13 2 15
Df Eugene Goodwin 13 0 13 Df Herman Lambert 11 1 12
Df Cadwaladr Lewis 13 1 14 Df Ichiro Oh 9 2 11
Mf Isaac Semenyo 13 0 13 Df Mamoru Morishima 7 2 9
Mf Efe Akpan 12 0 12 Mf Vibeke Skov 11 2 13
Fw Gavin Wright 15 1 16 Mf Kristijan Karacic 8 2 10
Fw Ulf Helander 12 2 14 Mf Ndiaga Mané 7 2 9
Fw Armand Songo'o 14 1 15 Mf Mats Larsson 6 2 8
Fw Julius Nwosu 6 2 8 Fw Jakub Fabianski 10 2 12
Fw José Oliveira 3 2 5 Fw Heorhiy Kozlov 10 1 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 9 27 25 58 ROSTER TOTALS 16 0 47 40 23
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 9 27 25 67 T O T A L S 16 0 47 40 23
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.47 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.33 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.08 (no second yellow)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.2 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.65 (no red card)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.6 (no red card)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.14 (no red card)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.69 (no red card)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.13 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.57 (no red card)
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.4 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.41 (no second yellow)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no red card)
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.68 (no red card)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.77 (no red card)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.67 (no red card)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.74 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.95 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card)
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.58 (no injury)
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.21 (no injury)
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.6 (no injury)
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.46 (no injury)
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.77 (no injury)
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.14 (no injury)
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.94 (no injury)
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.48 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.01 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.07 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury)
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.72 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.38 (no injury)
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.33 (no injury)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.1 (no injury)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.88 (no injury)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.61 (no injury)
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.72 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no injury)
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 15
- Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 14
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Faryd Cuadrado SL 13
- Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14
intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 16 9 27 25 67
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 0 47 40 23
Oldham Athletic AFC is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 10 (67 - 47) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 2; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 75.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 16 0 47 40 23
Bristol City FC 16 9 27 25 67
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 27)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((40 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 67) / 5; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Kristijan Karacic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Kristijan Karacic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Mats Larsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Kristijan Karacic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 4 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
Match Notes
I don't think I'll be lucky twice in a row. But maybe it'll go to penalties.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/25 - 1:15 PM
We really ought to take care of business at home.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/25 - 5:06 PM
Despite the scoreline, this could have gone either way. The Oldham GK had a tough day.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/28 - 12:57 AM