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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong             9    2   11     Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    0   12
Df Enrique Masis          13    1   14     Df Johnny Müller           6    2    8
Df Miguel de la Cruz      11    1   12     Df Khalid Harit            6    2    8
Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10     Df Kwadwo Danlad           2    2    4
Df Jordan Cummings         6    2    8     Df Federico Sorin          2    2    4
Mf Walid Sellimi          13    0   13     Mf Cédric Kenne            6    2    8
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    0   10     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     6    2    8
Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    1   14     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         2   -1    1
Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18     Mf Muziano Doni            2    2    4
Fw Renato Cabanas         12    0   12     Fw Sadou Moussa            6    2    8
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann    8    0    8     Fw Eligio Palacios         6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 44 23 52        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 24 21 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 44 30 54         T O T A L S       12  0 26 21 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.55 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.96 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.24 (no second yellow)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.47 (no second yellow)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.51 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.36 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.44 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.11 (no red card)

Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.33 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.59 (no red card)

Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.1 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.34 (no red card)

Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.59 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.33 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.22 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.4 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.27 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.54 (no red card)

Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.57 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.3 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.33 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.63 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.45 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.08 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.74 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.18 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) 
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.53 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no injury) 
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.41 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.09 (no injury) 
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.25 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.67 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.79 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.28 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.51 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.06 (no injury) 
Fw Eligio Palacios: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Johnny Müller SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 9

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         11   0  44  30  54
  Derby County             12   0  26  21  16

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 14 (54 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((30 - 21) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((44 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Gharib Alami
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 54.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 40.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             12   0  26  21  16
  Swansea City AFC         11   0  44  30  54

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 44)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 5  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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