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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wayne Carroll          14    2   16     Gk Alberto Flores         16    2   18
Sw Toni Meyer             12    2   14     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    2   12
Df Hugo Simons            14    2   16     Df Eugene Goodwin          7    2    9
Df Radoslaw Kaminski      11    2   13     Df Luiz Correia            6    2    8
Df Martin Rodríguez        7    2    9     Df Ashley Brown            4    2    6
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     11    2   13     Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    2   12
Mf Yahia El idrissi       11    2   13     Mf Efe Akpan               7    2    9
Fw Nii Mingle             18    1   19     Mf Rafal Karas             3    2    5
Fw Krystian Zewlakow      13    2   15     Mf Alex James              2    2    4
Fw Javier Jimenez         12    2   14     Fw Domingo Crespo          6    2    8
Fw Rik Schipper           11    2   13     Fw Tiago Pinto             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 38 26 61        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 35 30 13    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 14 38 26 70         T O T A L S       18  0 35 30 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.78 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.93 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.64 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.47 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.78 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.21 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.95 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.06 (no red card)

Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.48 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.76 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.79 (no red card)

Df Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.19 (no red card)

Df Ashley Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.58 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.63 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Alex James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.16 (no red card)

Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.35 (no red card)

Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 40.21 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.89 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.3 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.13 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.16 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.56 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.81 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.13 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.15 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury) 
Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.08 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.57 (no injury) 
Df Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.66 (no injury) 
Df Ashley Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.61 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.0 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.03 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.01 (no injury) 
Mf Alex James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.85 (no injury) 
Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.57 (no injury) 
Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 16

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cadwaladr Lewis SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  14  38  26  70
  Bristol City FC          18   0  35  30  13

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (70 - 35) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 9 ((38 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Hugo Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          18   0  35  30  13
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  14  38  26  70

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 38)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 70) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 4  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Another R2 exit to Vick beckons
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/01 - 7:55 PM
our days of dominating the cup are long over. no every match is a game of desperation
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/08 - 10:57 AM
Bristol old boy Zewlakow shows no mercy.
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/08 - 9:36 PM
Best of luck in the next round Vick
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/08 - 9:36 PM
thanks our season depended on it!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/12 - 8:49 PM
 
 
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