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Watford
James Tucker
 
Coventry City
Non League II
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    COVENTRY CITY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost              7    2    9     Gk Samir Hamdi             9    0    9
Sw Nico Lehmann            3    2    5     Df Alex Ganiyu            12   -1   11
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       14    1   15     Df Saïd Mohamed           10   -1    9
Df Felipe Pérez            8    2   10     Df Seydou Sonko            9   -1    8
Df Oskar Qvist             3    1    4     Mf Aeron Moore            10   -1    9
Mf Tin Perisic            15    1   16     Mf Wilmer Klaassen         9    2   11
Mf Oliwer Säfström         3    2    5     Mf Johan Larsson           8   -1    7
Fw Takao Soma             13    2   15     Mf Dragoljub Bylyk         5    0    5
Fw Edgar Jimenez          13    0   13     Mf Ramiro Murillo          4    0    4
Fw Claudio Prado          10    2   12     Fw Veselin Tymchenko      11   -1   10
Fw Djonno De boer          6    0    6     Fw Francisco Sánchez      11   -1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  5 29 21 46        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 28 36 20    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          1  1  1  0  2    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  5 30 30 46         T O T A L S       10  1 29 36 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.31 (no red card)

Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.69 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.96 (no red card)

Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.61 (no red card)

Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.86 (no red card)

Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.74 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.05 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.42 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.07 (no red card)

Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card)

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 6.39 (no red card)

Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 92.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 48.71 (no red card)

Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 78.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 63.72 (no red card)

Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 33.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 96.42 (no red card)

Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 64.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 49.88 (no red card)

Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 41.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 2.51 (no red card)

Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 71.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 94.24 (no red card)

Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 26.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 6.07 (no red card)

Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 18.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)

Fw Veselin Tymchenko: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 98.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 81.93 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 90.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 63.38 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 76.68 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 62.34 (no injury) 
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 53.33 (no injury) 
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.24 (no injury) 
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 70.68 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 67.05 (no injury) 
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 50.7 (no injury) 

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 5
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 81.44 (no injury) 
Df Alex Ganiyu: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Df Saïd Mohamed: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no injury) 
Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 19.1 (no injury) 
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 20.46 (no injury) 
Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 52.99 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no injury) 
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury) 
Fw Veselin Tymchenko: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 25.26 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tin Perisic SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Hamdi SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 47 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alex Ganiyu SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  9   5  30  30  46
  Coventry City            10   0  29  36  22

Watford Fw Attacks = 17 (46 - 29); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Oskar Qvist
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 29.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 86.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 21.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 17.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 71.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            10   0  29  36  22
  Watford                  9   5  30  30  46

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 30)
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 3 ((36 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Coventry City Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Johan Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Aeron Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Johan Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 5  -  COVENTRY CITY 0
 
Match Notes
Banana skin emphatically avoided.
James (Watford) 06/14 - 6:56 PM
 
 
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