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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon          14    1   15     Gk Pathé Ndong             3    2    5
Sw Théo Billard           14    1   15     Sw Aurélien Rami           3    2    5
Df Niklas Köhler          12    0   12     Df Ryan Bunyan             5    0    5
Df Michael Addo           10    2   12     Df Miguel de la Cruz       3    2    5
Df Exequiel Curbelo        8    1    9     Df Youssef Tazi            2    2    4
Df Óscar Cespedes          6    2    8     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        3    2    5
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          10    2   12     Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye       3    2    5
Mf Victor Araújo          10    0   10     Mf Kenneth Sani            2    2    4
Mf Rigobert Mahamat        6    2    8     Fw Michaël Van der heijden11    1   12
Fw Elliot Wilkins         17    1   18     Fw Gerry Maclaren          6    2    8
Fw Hideaki Endo           10    2   12     Fw Renato Cabanas          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 41 30 30        ROSTER TOTALS       5  5 14 14 25    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  2  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 41 30 40         T O T A L S        5  5 14 14 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.62 (no second yellow)

Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.68 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.6 (no red card)

Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.76 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.97 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.52 (no red card)

Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.92 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.79 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.33 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.0 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.08 (no red card)

Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.6 (no red card)

Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.62 (no red card)

Df Youssef Tazi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.03 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.89 (no red card)

Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.06 (no red card)

Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.84 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.98 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.69 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 76.11 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.01 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.41 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no injury) 
Df Exequiel Curbelo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.49 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.17 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.89 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.11 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 34.65 (no injury) 
Sw Aurélien Rami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.61 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Bunyan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.21 (no injury) 
Df Youssef Tazi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.19 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.31 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Mikkel Hedegaard is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mikkel Hedegaard new match skill level =  2
      Mikkel Hedegaard new match total level =  4
Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.28 (no injury) 
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.76 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.72 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 3

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  17  41  30  40
  Swansea City AFC         5   5  14  13  25

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 26 (40 - 14); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 9 ((30 - 13) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 6 ((41 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 41

1: Attack for Df Niklas Köhler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Exequiel Curbelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 19.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Exequiel Curbelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Niklas Köhler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Victor Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 95.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 4.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 43.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 32.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
38: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 51.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
39: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
40: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 73.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
41: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         5   5  14  13  25
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  17  41  30  40

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 41)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((13 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((14 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 4  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
A win is a win.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/10 - 8:00 PM
 
 
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