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Watford
James Tucker
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17     Gk Wayne Carroll          13    1   14
Sw Saul Aquino            13    2   15     Sw Lloyd Mills             3    2    5
Df Felipe Pérez           15    2   17     Df Martin Morales          6    2    8
Df Keita Hattori           6    2    8     Df Jenilson Gonçalves      5    2    7
Df Meliton Martinez        5    2    7     Df Bruno Gomes             3    2    5
Mf Federico Machado       10    0   10     Mf Hans Cornelius          6    2    8
Mf Callum Rowles           3    2    5     Mf José Salvio             3    2    5
Fw Julien De Boeck        13    1   14     Mf Keylor Gaitan           3    1    4
Fw Valerio Paredes        10    1   11     Mf Mario Arias             2    2    4
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal        10    2   12     Fw Chibuikem Thomas        6    0    6
Fw Claudio Prado           6    2    8     Fw Kwadwo Djiku            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 32 15 45        ROSTER TOTALS      14  5 20 21 11    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 33 18 51         T O T A L S       14  8 24 21 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.64 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.09 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.97 (no red card)

Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.36 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.85 (no red card)

Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.49 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.86 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.43 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.7 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.19 (no red card)

Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.51 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)

Df Jenilson Gonçalves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.07 (no red card)

Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.93 (no red card)

Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.5 (no red card)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.78 (no red card)

Mf Keylor Gaitan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.03 (no red card)

Mf Mario Arias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.99 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 38.53 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.9 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Keita Hattori is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Keita Hattori new match skill level =  3
      Keita Hattori new match total level =  5
Df Meliton Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.88 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.7 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Julien De Boeck is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Julien De Boeck new match skill level =  7
      Julien De Boeck new match total level =  8
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.72 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.21 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.54 (no injury) 
Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.44 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.8 (no injury) 
Df Jenilson Gonçalves: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.27 (no injury) 
Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.84 (no injury) 
Mf Keylor Gaitan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.17 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Arias: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.81 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.46 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 13

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Morales SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17  15  30  18  45
  Tranmere Rovers          14   8  24  21  11

Watford Fw Attacks = 21 (45 - 24); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 7 ((30 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Meliton Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Felipe Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          14   8  24  21  11
  Watford                  17  15  30  18  45

Tranmere Rovers is Playing For A Draw!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 30)
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Mario Arias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 3  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 0
 
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