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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           13    1   14     Gk Reuben Lennon          12    0   12
Sw Jakob Petersen         12    1   13     Df Jonathan Acosta        13    2   15
Df William Baker          12    1   13     Df Vieira Mendes          11    2   13
Df Hans Murphy            11    1   12     Df Hugo Quintero           6    2    8
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        6    2    8     Df Grégory Lloris          5    2    7
Mf Weston Williamson      13    1   14     Mf Ivan Vida              13    1   14
Mf Aliou Sow              10    1   11     Mf Harrison Harewood      10    1   11
Mf Babou Kebe              6    2    8     Mf Bastiaan de Jong        6    2    8
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        13    0   13     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15
Fw Jay Hanny              16    0   16     Fw Angelo Bruno           10    2   12
Fw Owen Jones              6    2    8     Fw Aaron Jones             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 33 33 37        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 43 33 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 36 36 40         T O T A L S       15  0 43 34 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.88 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.91 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.15 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.9 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.69 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.87 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.5 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.88 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.05 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 16.62 (no second yellow)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 57.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 57.69 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.62 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.91 (no second yellow)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 61.82 (no red card)

Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 26.51 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 95.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 71.43 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 5.6 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 55.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.42 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 49.66 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 93.72 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 78.86 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.0 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 10.87 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 78.68 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 16.82 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 52.03 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.16 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Hugo Quintero is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Hugo Quintero new match skill level =  3
      Hugo Quintero new match total level =  5
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.73 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.11 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.1 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.62 (no injury) 
Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.76 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonathan Acosta SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 13

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          14  13  36  36  40
  Dorchester Town          15   0  40  34  35

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 40)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((36 - 34) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((36 - 35) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df William Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          15   0  40  34  35
  Lincoln City FC          14  13  36  36  40

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 36)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
A tough away fixture. Would have fancied our chances if we had a home tie.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/29 - 9:26 PM
Like being home, but this will be close. A lot of 1 goal matches in the history. Best of luck, Andy!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/01 - 1:05 PM
A great prediction Mike. Another one nil. Good luck the next round.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/05 - 10:11 PM
 
 
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