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Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thomas Anderson        12    2   14     Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15
Sw Mitsuo Soma            15    2   17     Sw Tommy McGree           11    2   13
Df Ichiro Oh              10    2   12     Df Santiago Castillo      13    1   14
Df Mamoru Morishima       10   -1    9     Df Sion Davey             11    2   13
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui     10    1   11     Df Michaël Van der Heyden  6    2    8
Mf Ndiaga Mané            11    0   11     Mf Ian Tejeda             13    1   14
Mf Božo Rebic              8    0    8     Mf Stefan Boniek          11    1   12
Mf Vibeke Skov             6    2    8     Mf Mario Pletikosa         3    2    5
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov         13    2   15     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    1   14
Fw Curtis Carr            16    1   17     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    1   15
Fw Marouane Peeters       11    2   13     Fw Luigi Suarez           10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 32 27 45        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 35 31 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 17 32 27 54         T O T A L S       15 13 35 31 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.45 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card)

Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.49 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.16 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.04 (no red card)

Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.92 (no red card)

Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.62 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.91 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.91 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.38 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.61 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.98 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.74 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.63 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.01 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.66 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.04 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.84 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.78 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.89 (no red card)

Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Mitsuo Soma is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mitsuo Soma new match skill level =  8
      Mitsuo Soma new match total level =  10
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.92 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.18 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.77 (no injury) 
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.28 (no injury) 
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.39 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.8 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.39 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.06 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.02 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.04 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.97 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.35 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.35 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.66 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) 
Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  10  32  27  54
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  35  31  39

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (54 - 35); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  13  35  31  39
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  10  32  27  54

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 7 (39 - 32); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
Home advantage could be the difference in the sides
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/26 - 8:11 AM
An important game in the 2nd round. Carl, you're right, we are happy with our home advantage.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 05/30 - 6:42 PM
Me thinks we rode our luck and then some
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 9:39 AM
Mmm, many attacks more, but not more shots. Your SW was very good I think. Congrats Carl.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/08 - 4:54 AM
 
 
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