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Wednesday, January 28th, 2026 - 11:23:01 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Coventry City
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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

COVENTRY CITY                              CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Hamdi             9    0    9     Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos     11    2   13
Sw Hideaki Soma           10    0   10     Sw Lewis Kane              6    2    8
Df Per Olsen              11   -1   10     Df Nick Jacobs             6    2    8
Df Seydou Sonko            9   -1    8     Df Mark O'Byrne            6    2    8
Df Djibril Édouard         8    0    8     Mf Artur Zalewski         15    2   17
Mf Wilmer Klaassen        13   -1   12     Mf Hywel James             6    0    6
Mf Aeron Moore            10   -1    9     Fw Leonardo Alonso        12    2   14
Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen       7    2    9     Fw Fabrice Ndi            11    2   13
Mf Johan Larsson           5   -1    4     Fw Jean Diouf             11    1   12
Fw Francisco Sánchez      11   -1   10     Fw Edson Blanco            6    2    8
Fw Brecht Berghuis         9   -1    8     Fw Boško Pletikosa         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 10 26 34 18        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 16 23 52    
       0  1  2  2  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 11 31 38 22         T O T A L S       13  8 18 23 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.07 (no red card)

Sw Hideaki Soma: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 56.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 6.57 (no red card)

Df Per Olsen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 41.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 7.48 (no red card)

Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card)

Df Djibril Édouard: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 86.83 (no red card)

Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 96.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no red card)

Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 45.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 1.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aeron Moore new match skill level =  5
      Aeron Moore new match total level =  4

Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 56.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 83.17 (no red card)

Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 98.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 17.19 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 2.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no second yellow)

Fw Brecht Berghuis: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 90.97 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.03 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.08 (no red card)

Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.57 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.23 (no red card)

Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.46 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.96 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.47 (no red card)

Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 7
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Samir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 26.37 (no injury) 
Sw Hideaki Soma: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 9.93 (no injury) 
Df Per Olsen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 80.54 (no injury) 
Df Seydou Sonko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.78 (no injury) 
Df Djibril Édouard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.42 (no injury) 
Mf Wilmer Klaassen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.7 (no injury) 
Mf Aeron Moore: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 78.21 (no injury) 
Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Larsson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Johan Larsson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Johan Larsson new match skill level =  3
      Johan Larsson new match total level =  2
Fw Francisco Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.61 (no injury) 
Fw Brecht Berghuis: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.25 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 62.72 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 13.64 (no injury) 
Df Nick Jacobs: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 46.79 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 25.38 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 32.62 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 24.83 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 96.66 (no injury) 
Fw Boško Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 95.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wilmer Klaassen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 11

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Artur Zalewski SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Hamdi SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            9  11  31  31  22
  Cardiff City FC          13   8  18  23  52

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 4 (22 - 18); result rounded up
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 4 ((31 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Coventry City Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Asbjorn Mathiasen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Wilmer Klaassen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Francisco Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          13   8  18  23  52
  Coventry City            9  11  31  31  22

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 21 (52 - 31); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 0.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 72.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 61.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Boško Pletikosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 49.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
COVENTRY CITY 1  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 4
 
Match Notes
Managed to win something this session. Never can be taken for granted a win at Coventry so happy to progress here
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 01/24 - 10:49 PM
 
 
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