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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 49 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           13    2   15     Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    0   12
Sw Gilbert Tchato          3    2    5     Sw Artur Boniek           12    0   12
Df Vincent Hamidou        13    2   15     Df Rodrigo de Corona      16   -1   15
Df Alain Teulet            6    2    8     Df Mikkel Iversen         10    1   11
Df Alex Salisu             6    2    8     Df Aaron Márquez           9    0    9
Mf Marco Arce             11    1   12     Df Johnny Müller           6    2    8
Mf Ludwig Troell           6    2    8     Mf Henry Rowles            9    0    9
Fw Cássio Lemos           14    2   16     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     6    2    8
Fw Jamie Behich           11    2   13     Fw Yahia El mostafa       13   -1   12
Fw Kenzie McDonald        14   -1   13     Fw Erik Christiansen      11    0   11
Fw Pedro Viera             6    2    8     Fw Reimundo Almada        10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  5 31 20 50        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 43 17 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  5 31 20 59         T O T A L S       12 12 45 17 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.73 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no second yellow)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.45 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.26 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.05 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.48 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.64 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.18 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.88 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.77 (no red card)

Df Aaron Márquez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.39 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aaron Márquez new match skill level =  5
      Aaron Márquez new match total level =  5

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.17 (no second yellow)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.45 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.68 (no second yellow)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.46 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.62 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.64 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.46 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.36 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.61 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.86 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.33 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 44.13 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.27 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Márquez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.33 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Krystian Sobolewski is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Krystian Sobolewski new match skill level =  3
      Krystian Sobolewski new match total level =  5
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.88 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.02 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17   5  31  20  59
  Derby County             12  12  41  14  33

Southend United Fw Attacks = 18 (59 - 41); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Marco Arce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 17.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             12  12  41  14  33
  Southend United          17   5  31  20  59

Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (33 - 31); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 4  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
I took a chance by playing some youth players and got away with it - phew!
Colin (Southend United) 01/18 - 8:48 PM
 
 
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