(H)

Southend United
Colin Scott

Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alonso Lopez 13 2 15 Gk Fernando Pellistri 12 0 12 Sw Gilbert Tchato 3 2 5 Sw Artur Boniek 12 0 12 Df Vincent Hamidou 13 2 15 Df Rodrigo de Corona 16 -1 15 Df Alain Teulet 6 2 8 Df Mikkel Iversen 10 1 11 Df Alex Salisu 6 2 8 Df Aaron Márquez 9 0 9 Mf Marco Arce 11 1 12 Df Johnny Müller 6 2 8 Mf Ludwig Troell 6 2 8 Mf Henry Rowles 9 0 9 Fw Cássio Lemos 14 2 16 Mf Krystian Sobolewski 6 2 8 Fw Jamie Behich 11 2 13 Fw Yahia El mostafa 13 -1 12 Fw Kenzie McDonald 14 -1 13 Fw Erik Christiansen 11 0 11 Fw Pedro Viera 6 2 8 Fw Reimundo Almada 10 0 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 5 31 20 50 ROSTER TOTALS 12 12 43 17 33 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 5 31 20 59 T O T A L S 12 12 45 17 33 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.73 (no red card) Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.54 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no second yellow) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.45 (no red card) Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.26 (no red card) Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card) Mf Marco Arce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card) Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.05 (no red card) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.48 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card) Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.64 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.18 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.88 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.77 (no red card) Df Aaron Márquez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.39 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Aaron Márquez new match skill level = 5 Aaron Márquez new match total level = 5 Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.98 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.17 (no second yellow) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.45 (no red card) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.3 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.68 (no second yellow) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.25 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.46 (no injury) Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.62 (no injury) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.64 (no injury) Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury) Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.46 (no injury) Mf Marco Arce: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.36 (no injury) Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.61 (no injury) Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.86 (no injury) Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.33 (no injury) Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Southend United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 44.13 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.27 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury) Df Aaron Márquez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury) Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.33 (no injury) Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.79 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Krystian Sobolewski is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Krystian Sobolewski new match skill level = 3 Krystian Sobolewski new match total level = 5 Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.88 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.02 (no injury) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 14 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 16 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13 intRndPk = 61 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 17 5 31 20 59 Derby County 12 12 41 14 33 Southend United Fw Attacks = 18 (59 - 41); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 33) / 3; rounded up) Southend United Total Attacks = 21 1: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Marco Arce Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Marco Arce Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 17.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Pedro Viera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 12 12 41 14 33 Southend United 17 5 31 20 59 Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (33 - 31); result rounded up Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 59) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 4 - DERBY COUNTY 0
Match Notes

I took a chance by playing some youth players and got away with it - phew!
Colin (Southend United) 01/18 - 8:48 PM