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Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         15    1   16     Gk Pathé Ndong             5    2    7
Sw Reece Gregory          14    0   14     Sw William Upamecano       2    2    4
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    1   11     Df Lucas Stuhr             8   -1    7
Df Eugene Goodwin          6    2    8     Df Jordan Cummings         3    2    5
Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    1   11     Df Rivaldo da Silva        2    2    4
Mf Efe Akpan               6    2    8     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard        6    2    8
Fw Dafydd Chapman         10    1   11     Mf Kenneth Sani            5    2    7
Fw Mbark Sabiri           10    1   11     Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye       5    1    6
Fw Jørn Nielsen           10    1   11     Mf Per Hamann              3    2    5
Fw Ulf Helander            6    2    8     Fw Renato Cabanas          6    2    8
Fw Tiago Pinto             2    2    4     Fw Yeltsin Venegas         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 19 19 45        ROSTER TOTALS       7  4 16 26 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 19 19 54         T O T A L S        7  4 16 26 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.62 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.14 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.34 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.63 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.96 (no red card)

Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.45 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.36 (no red card)

Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.44 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.58 (no red card)

Sw William Upamecano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.61 (no red card)

Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.37 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.84 (no red card)

Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.54 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.31 (no red card)

Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.32 (no red card)

Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.91 (no red card)

Mf Per Hamann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.12 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.72 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.79 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.21 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.63 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.18 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.19 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no injury) 
Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.22 (no injury) 
Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 2.89 (no injury) 
Sw William Upamecano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.74 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.7 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.44 (no injury) 
Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.22 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no injury) 
Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.29 (no injury) 
Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.41 (no injury) 
Mf Per Hamann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.17 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.18 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cadwaladr Lewis SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 5

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lucas Stuhr SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16  14  19  19  54
  Swansea City AFC         7   4  16  26  13

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 38 (54 - 16); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((19 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 37.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 97.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 96.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 13.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 61.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 39 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 11.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 27.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 37.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 85.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Tiago Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Jørn Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
40: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         7   4  16  26  13
  Bristol City FC          16  14  19  19  54

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 19)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((26 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Nicolas Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 6  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Not sure your heart was in it here Roy
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/01 - 6:25 PM
 
 
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