(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Watford
James Tucker
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gregory Reyna 13 2 15 Gk Mads Frost 12 2 14
Sw Ramires Jesus 13 0 13 Sw Saul Aquino 10 0 10
Df Eirwyn Davey 13 0 13 Df Nico Lehmann 4 2 6
Df Jacob Beynon 10 0 10 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 2 16
Df Nicola Panucci 6 2 8 Df Keita Hattori 13 2 15
Mf Marco D'amato 11 2 13 Df Shoichi Morita 10 2 12
Mf Joon Jung-hwan 2 2 4 Mf Callum Rowles 10 0 10
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 2 17 Mf Oliwer Säfström 5 2 7
Fw Jordan Pérez 11 2 13 Mf Octavio Barbosa 3 2 5
Fw Javier Gimenez 11 0 11 Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 6 2 8
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 6 2 8 Fw Trefor Lloyd 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 13 31 17 49 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 49 22 13
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 7 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 3 1 0
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15 13 31 24 54 T O T A L S 14 13 52 23 13
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.25 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no second yellow)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.8 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.55 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Jacob Beynon new match skill level = 5
Jacob Beynon new match total level = 5
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.17 (no red card)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.27 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.24 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.16 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.04 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.55 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.99 (no red card)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.5 (no red card)
Df Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.43 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.52 (no second yellow)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.33 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.84 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.36 (no red card)
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.51 (no red card)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.08 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.02 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.87 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.47 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 58.35 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.86 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.84 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.48 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.29 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.96 (no injury)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.02 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.81 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.28 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.32 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.1 (no injury)
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no injury)
Df Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.32 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.64 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Mykhailo Pavlyuk is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Mykhailo Pavlyuk new match skill level = 7
Mykhailo Pavlyuk new match total level = 9
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.78 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.49 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Shoichi Morita is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no injury)
Mf Oliwer Säfström: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no injury)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.86 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.63 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Emmanuel Krzynówek SL 15
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 12
intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Keita Hattori SL 13
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 13
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 15 13 26 24 54
Watford 14 13 45 23 13
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 9 (54 - 45); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 5 ((26 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Joon Jung-hwan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 14 13 45 23 13
Carlisle United 15 13 26 24 54
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 26)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 0
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F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - WATFORD 0