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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             15    1   16     Gk Lewis Lorimar          10    0   10
Sw Théo Billard           15    2   17     Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14
Df Eric Aidoo             10    2   12     Df Martin Toivonen        11    0   11
Df Óscar Cespedes         10    2   12     Df Tal Avraham             7    1    8
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    2   14     Mf Brecht De wit          12    0   12
Mf Raouf Salem            10    2   12     Mf Etienne Willems        11    0   11
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       10    2   12     Mf Mark Davies            11    0   11
Mf William Gomez          10    2   12     Fw António Guerreiro      12    0   12
Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14     Fw Bartosz Frankowski     10    0   10
Fw Khalilou Konaté        12    0   12     Fw Alexander Ross          8    0    8
Fw Ian Lee                 7    1    8     Fw Ricardo Cabanas         5    0    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 24 50 34        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 33 34 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 24 50 43         T O T A L S       10  0 33 34 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.31 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.62 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.48 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.01 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.4 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.56 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.37 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.29 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.88 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.26 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.51 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.1 (no red card)

Df Tal Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.93 (no second yellow)

Mf Mark Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.6 (no red card)

Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.01 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.25 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.04 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.06 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.36 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Óscar Cespedes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.08 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.95 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.83 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.98 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.37 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.2 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.64 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.11 (no injury) 
Df Tal Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.44 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.48 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no injury) 
Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.12 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.41 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ibrahim Yusuf SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Lorimar SL 10

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Enrique Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  17  24  50  43
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  33  34  41

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 10 (43 - 33); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 8 ((50 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 93.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 78.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 87.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 57.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          10   0  33  34  41
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  17  24  50  43

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (41 - 24); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ricardo Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Alexander Ross
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Ricardo Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 6  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
One of those sessions you wish you could move some goals around to another match.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/01 - 6:31 PM
I feel like OST might have helped here.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/01 - 6:33 PM
 
 
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