(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn 15 2 17 Gk Joshua Samed 11 1 12
Sw Tjoris Dumfried 12 2 14 Sw Tommy McGree 13 1 14
Df Hayden Goodwin 14 2 16 Df Sion Davey 13 2 15
Df Abdul Otu 12 1 13 Df Michaël Van der Heyden 12 2 14
Df Miguel Torres 10 2 12 Df Jilani Amara 11 1 12
Mf Angus McKay 13 2 15 Mf Stefan Boniek 13 1 14
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait 6 2 8 Mf Patrice Djemba 11 1 12
Fw Eduardo Luna 13 2 15 Mf Mario Pletikosa 6 2 8
Fw Šime Sucic 10 2 12 Fw Joel Zamora 13 1 14
Fw Raphaël Mayeux 10 2 12 Fw Erik Strömstedt 12 1 13
Fw Geovanny Arley 6 2 8 Fw Ryu Haraguchi 15 1 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 14 41 23 47 ROSTER TOTALS 12 14 41 34 43
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 14 41 23 56 T O T A L S 12 14 41 34 43
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.62 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.6 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.83 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.71 (no red card)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.69 (no red card)
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.14 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.93 (no red card)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.65 (no red card)
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.25 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.32 (no red card)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.06 (no red card)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.65 (no red card)
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.01 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.76 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.38 (no red card)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.31 (no red card)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.29 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.9 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.22 (no injury)
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.7 (no injury)
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.14 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.16 (no injury)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.27 (no injury)
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.42 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.36 (no injury)
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no injury)
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.93 (no injury)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.79 (no injury)
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.07 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.54 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.31 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.26 (no injury)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no injury)
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.79 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.6 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 14
- Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 11
intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15
intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 17 14 41 23 56
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 14 41 34 43
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 15 (56 - 41); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 43) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 58.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 93.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 14 41 34 43
Preston North End FC 17 14 41 23 56
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 2 (43 - 41); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((34 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 56) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
Match Notes
Away to Preston is never easy
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/12 - 7:20 AM
Not unless you're the manager of Lewes or Brentford.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 01/17 - 7:38 PM
We gave it a go
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/19 - 6:45 AM