(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Xavier Lambert 12 2 14 Gk Kurt Östman 12 2 14
Sw Cristhian Dybala 12 0 12 Sw Édouard Gning 14 1 15
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 0 13 Df Laurence Clarke 13 1 14
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 11 2 13 Df Moez Mhedhebi 12 0 12
Df Jacob Beynon 6 2 8 Df Nour Zaroury 10 2 12
Mf Peter Bengtsson 13 0 13 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 0 13
Mf Marcus Teulet 6 2 8 Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 12 2 14 Fw Kian Clarke 13 1 14
Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 1 15 Fw Paul Dumont 10 2 12
Fw Noah Zimmermann 11 0 11 Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14
Fw Javier Gimenez 6 2 8 Fw Jon Dahl Lund 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 12 34 21 48 ROSTER TOTALS 14 15 38 24 49
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 12 34 24 54 T O T A L S 14 15 38 24 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.43 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.22 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.17 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.14 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.35 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.16 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.7 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.24 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.25 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.07 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.35 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.87 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.64 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no second yellow)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.83 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.23 (no red card)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.97 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.84 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.12 (no red card)
Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.55 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.58 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.81 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.45 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.21 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.13 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.75 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.7 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.36 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.18 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.72 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.89 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.22 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no injury)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.06 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.42 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.21 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.09 (no injury)
Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.36 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Salem Bejaoui SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 12
intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 12
intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 14 12 34 24 54
Nottingham Forest 14 15 38 24 49
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 16 (54 - 38); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 14 15 38 24 49
Carlisle United 14 12 34 24 54
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 15 (49 - 34); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 0 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
Match Notes
We had a sdlight advantage thanks to our sweeper - glad to win this one.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/01 - 6:22 PM
Tight game - on another day we could have at least taken it to penalties - and then lost! Good luck with the rest of the Cup, Steve.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/02 - 3:01 AM