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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James           3    2    5     Gk Alberto Flores         13    2   15
Sw Randall Gutiérrez       3    2    5     Df Cadwaladr Lewis        13    1   14
Df Zinedine Castex         6    2    8     Df Eugene Goodwin         12    2   14
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui      6    0    6     Df Martin Rodríguez       10    2   12
Df Jonas Gomes             3    2    5     Df Willy Cerfbeer          6    2    8
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior 3    2    5     Mf Isaac Semenyo          13    0   13
Df Manuel Alves           14    2   16     Mf Steven Simons          10    1   11
Mf Mats Larsson            6    2    8     Mf Rafal Karas             6    2    8
Mf Abdel Baya              5    2    7     Fw Gavin Wright           14    1   15
Fw Vladimir Ureña          6    2    8     Fw Armand Songo'o         14    1   15
Fw Héctor Masis            2    2    4     Fw Julius Nwosu            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  5 40 15 12        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 48 32 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  5 40 24 12         T O T A L S       15  0 48 32 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.06 (no red card)

Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.58 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.55 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.71 (no red card)

Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.4 (no red card)

Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.56 (no red card)

Df Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.37 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no red card)

Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.17 (no red card)

Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.48 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.38 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.05 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.78 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.26 (no red card)

Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.17 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.56 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.68 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.49 (no injury) 
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.9 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.56 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.73 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.81 (no injury) 
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior new match skill level =  2
      Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior new match total level =  4
Df Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.04 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) 
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.45 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.16 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.1 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.19 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.99 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.15 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.08 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Julius Nwosu is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Julius Nwosu new match skill level =  3
      Julius Nwosu new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Alves SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 13

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 3

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      5   5  39  24  12
  Bristol City FC          15   0  48  32  35

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 48)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((39 - 35) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Manuel Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Mohammed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15   0  48  32  35
  Oldham Athletic AFC      5   5  39  24  12

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 39)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 8 ((48 - 12) / 5); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 32.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 2.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Willy Cerfbeer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 40.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 78.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 47.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Isaac Semenyo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Steven Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Steven Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
A vastly superior team. We are the "petit poucet" We are going for a feat!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/18 - 8:30 AM
You have the benefit of playing at home, so at least there's that.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/18 - 4:27 PM
when a team of painters meets a team of chefs! I didn't expect these results!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/18 - 8:12 PM
the olmec god is with me :-)
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 01/18 - 8:13 PM
A shocking result, all things considered.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/20 - 6:35 PM
At least we have a home replay to look forward to.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/20 - 6:35 PM
 
 
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