(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 3
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17 Gk Yassine Amara 15 2 17
Sw Nico Lehmann 10 2 12 Sw Gilbert Tchato 13 2 15
Df Keita Hattori 13 1 14 Df Eric Kompany 12 1 13
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 2 19 Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14
Df Oskar Qvist 9 1 10 Df Lars Koster 12 1 13
Mf Dmitry Soroka 14 1 15 Df William Kwadwo 6 2 8
Mf Aidan Maddison 12 0 12 Mf Quentin Meunier 10 2 12
Fw Djonno De boer 13 2 15 Mf Cyril Chadli 8 2 10
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 10 2 12 Mf Seol Sun 6 2 8
Fw Takao Soma 9 1 10 Fw Franco Almada 10 2 12
Fw Yassine Aloui 6 2 8 Fw Pedro Viera 9 0 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 12 43 27 45 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 48 30 21
0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
17 12 44 27 54 T O T A L S 18 18 52 30 21
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.46 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.55 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.41 (no second yellow)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.87 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.48 (no second yellow)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.16 (no red card)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.61 (no red card)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.06 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.01 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.4 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.39 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.47 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.2 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.31 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.11 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.48 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.45 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.15 (no red card)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.36 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.84 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.66 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.51 (no second yellow)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 70.33 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.99 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.76 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.86 (no injury)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Dmitry Soroka is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Dmitry Soroka new match skill level = 7
Dmitry Soroka new match total level = 8
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.47 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.71 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.3 (no injury)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.22 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.55 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 56.56 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.27 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.25 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.9 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.24 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.4 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.91 (no injury)
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.85 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eric Kompany SL 12
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 12 44 20 54
Southend United 18 18 52 30 21
Watford Fw Attacks = 2 (54 - 52); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 8 ((44 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Oskar Qvist
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Oskar Qvist
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 18 18 52 30 21
Watford 17 12 44 20 54
Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 44)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 20) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 54) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Seol Sun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Quentin Meunier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
Match Notes
JT throwing everyone forward or parking the bus — nobody knows, not even him. Colin Scott better have a plan for both.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/18 - 6:30 PM
Nearly - we move on…
Colin (Southend United) 05/23 - 6:28 PM
JT's lads grinding out 1-0 wins now. Whatever happened to 5 attackers, James? Colin will be hurting after that one.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/23 - 6:30 PM