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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     14    2   16     Gk Wayne Carroll          13    2   15
Sw Santiago Ramos         12    2   14     Df Hugo Simons            14    2   16
Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13     Df Freddie Harris         13    2   15
Df Gonçalo Cancelo        10    2   12     Df James Aminu             3    2    5
Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12     Mf Yahia El idrissi       11    2   13
Mf Luis Fati               9    2   11     Mf Tomasz Lewandowski     10    2   12
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    14    2   16     Mf Melvin Carmona          9    1   10
Fw Granit Wicky           13    2   15     Mf Denis Fellaini          6    2    8
Fw Tim Scholz             16    2   18     Mf José Drummond           3    2    5
Fw Michal Buncol          11    1   12     Fw Rik Schipper           11    2   13
Fw Robbie Murphy           6    2    8     Fw Dario Sucic             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 25 23 69        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 36 48 21    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  1  2  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 14 26 25 75         T O T A L S       16  0 43 48 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 56.18 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.09 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.03 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.04 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.32 (no red card)

Mf Luis Fati: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.56 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.96 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.5 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.12 (no red card)

Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.11 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 49.26 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.54 (no red card)

Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 50.46 (no red card)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.04 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.02 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.96 (no red card)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.71 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.79 (no second yellow)

Mf José Drummond: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.15 (no red card)

Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.04 (no red card)

Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 30.56 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 88.93 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.99 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 75.44 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Fati: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 85.72 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.9 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Sebastian Zielinski is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 82.13 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 54.3 (no injury) 
Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.47 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.93 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 24.72 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.65 (no injury) 
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 88.6 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.72 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 12.16 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.94 (no injury) 
Mf José Drummond: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.05 (no injury) 
Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 22.11 (no injury) 
Fw Dario Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Simons SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          17  14  26  25  75
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   0  43  48  22

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 16 (75 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Júlio Casemiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Júlio Casemiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 5.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 48.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 88.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16   0  43  48  22
  Tranmere Rovers          17  14  26  25  75

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 26)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((48 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 75) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Tomasz Lewandowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 4  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Tranmere are off to a great start!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/29 - 10:56 AM
I suspect Alon stuck your pre-season predictions to the dressing room door today Vick
Roger (Bristol City FC) 06/01 - 6:27 PM
lol i suspect he did!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/05 - 7:43 PM
 
 
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