(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Per Holmdahl 12 2 14 Gk Valentin Lugn 14 1 15
Sw Piotr Sobolewski 11 2 13 Sw Walter Olivera 14 2 16
Df Edwin O'Doherty 12 2 14 Df Joseph Jones 11 2 13
Df Festus Abubakar 11 2 13 Df Harry Martyn 10 2 12
Df Magnus Waering 6 2 8 Df Hayden Goodwin 8 2 10
Mf Mario Pletikosa 12 2 14 Df Joan Hierro 6 2 8
Mf Patrice Djemba 10 1 11 Df Anders Jacobsen 3 2 5
Mf Ivan Jackson 6 2 8 Mf Kazuo Kawashima 6 2 8
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 15 2 17 Mf Carlos Nuñez 3 2 5
Fw Bassem Mkademi 11 2 13 Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 6 2 8
Fw Olivier Havet 6 2 8 Fw Fabrice Thabet 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 13 35 33 38 ROSTER TOTALS 15 16 48 13 13
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 0 4 0
=======================================================================
14 13 35 35 45 T O T A L S 15 19 48 17 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.7 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.36 (no red card)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.35 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.08 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.5 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.57 (no second yellow)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.39 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.26 (no red card)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.23 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.57 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.27 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.14 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.57 (no red card)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.36 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.86 (no red card)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.94 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.58 (no red card)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.16 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.51 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.15 (no injury)
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.27 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.33 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.05 (no injury)
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no injury)
Fw Bassem Mkademi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.68 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.67 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.08 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.79 (no injury)
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.47 (no injury)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.16 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.87 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.34 (no injury)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.95 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.8 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.03 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.7 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.73 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 14
intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joseph Jones SL 11
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 12
intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 14 13 35 35 45
Preston North End FC 15 19 48 17 13
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 48)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((35 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 8 ((35 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Df Festus Abubakar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Edwin O'Doherty
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Magnus Waering
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Ivan Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Mf Patrice Djemba
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 15 19 48 17 13
Crewe Alexandra FC 14 13 35 35 45
Preston North End FC is Playing For A Draw!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 35)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 35) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 1 ((48 - 45) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
Match Notes
PNE are clear favourites to progress
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/18 - 8:53 AM
Olmec loves Ian!
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/24 - 11:45 PM
We just couldn’t get it done
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/25 - 9:35 AM