(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
FA Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Gk Smahi Regragui 15 2 17
Df Felipe Pérez 12 0 12 Df Oribe Vega 16 2 18
Df Waldemar Skoras 11 2 13 Df Abdul Otu 10 2 12
Df Alain Fauché 15 1 16 Mf Miguel López 13 2 15
Df Victor Bach 10 1 11 Mf Leif Andersen 10 1 11
Df Walter McGree 6 2 8 Mf Arthur Goodwin 6 2 8
Mf Hirving Borgetti 12 0 12 Fw Heorhiy Kozak 10 2 12
Mf Dennis Olsen 11 0 11 Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12
Mf Federico Machado 6 2 8 Fw Owen Bennett 8 2 10
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 6 2 8 Fw Šime Sucic 6 2 8
Fw Valerio Paredes 6 2 8 Fw Raphaël Mayeux 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 0 60 31 16 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 30 34 50
0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 0 60 41 16 T O T A L S 17 0 30 34 50
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.93 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.75 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.93 (no red card)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.59 (no red card)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.46 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.88 (no red card)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.98 (no red card)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.8 (no red card)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.17 (no red card)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.04 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.27 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.22 (no red card)
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.14 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.7 (no red card)
Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.65 (no red card)
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.24 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.17 (no red card)
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.0 (no red card)
Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.5 (no red card)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.15 (no red card)
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.23 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no injury)
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.49 (no injury)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.05 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.34 (no injury)
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.12 (no injury)
Mf Dennis Olsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.94 (no injury)
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.84 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 45.93 (no injury)
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.71 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.93 (no injury)
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.14 (no injury)
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.15 (no injury)
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.92 (no injury)
Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.93 (no injury)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.71 (no injury)
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.9 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15
- Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 15
intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 16
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 20 0 60 41 16
Preston North End FC 17 0 30 34 50
Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 30)
Watford Mf Attacks = 7 ((41 - 34) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((60 - 50) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Waldemar Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Dennis Olsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Dennis Olsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 17 0 30 34 50
Watford 20 0 60 41 16
Watford is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 60)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 3 ((30 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Oribe Vega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 55.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 0 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
Match Notes
The only match that let me down on a perfect prediction week
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/02 - 6:09 PM
I see this one tripped Carl from a perfect ten too
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/02 - 6:12 PM
Looks like some collusion with identical lineups for a replay...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/02 - 11:03 PM