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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         14    1   15     Gk Federico Acuña         10    0   10
Df Marcus Bergman         11    0   11     Sw David Lemaigre          6    2    8
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    1   11     Df Hrvoje Livaja           8    1    9
Df Eugene Goodwin          6    2    8     Df Heorhiy Kirichenko      6    2    8
Df Luiz Correia            6    1    7     Mf Ramzi Riahi            10    1   11
Mf Isaac Semenyo          10    1   11     Mf Jeong Yong              6    2    8
Mf Efe Akpan               6    2    8     Mf Tijn Klaassen           2    2    4
Fw Dafydd Chapman         10    1   11     Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk    12    0   12
Fw Mbark Sabiri           10    1   11     Fw Mason Johnston          7    0    7
Fw Ulf Helander            5    2    7     Mf Ben Davidson            4    1    5
Fw Tiago Pinto             2    2    4     Fw Arouna Geremi           5    1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 37 19 33        ROSTER TOTALS      10  8 17 28 25    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 37 19 42         T O T A L S       10  8 17 28 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 32.96 (no red card)

Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.05 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.94 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.15 (no red card)

Df Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.23 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.16 (no second yellow)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.49 (no second yellow)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.66 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.43 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)

Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.81 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Acuña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.13 (no red card)

Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.95 (no red card)

Df Hrvoje Livaja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.02 (no red card)

Df Heorhiy Kirichenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.18 (no red card)

Mf Ramzi Riahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.5 (no red card)

Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.93 (no red card)

Mf Tijn Klaassen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card)

Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.95 (no red card)

Fw Mason Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.74 (no red card)

Mf Ben Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.02 (no red card)

Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 42.8 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.84 (no injury) 
Df Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.63 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.47 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no injury) 
Fw Tiago Pinto: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.72 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Federico Acuña: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.02 (no injury) 
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      David Lemaigre is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      David Lemaigre new match skill level =  3
      David Lemaigre new match total level =  5
Df Hrvoje Livaja: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.13 (no injury) 
Df Heorhiy Kirichenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.61 (no injury) 
Mf Ramzi Riahi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.51 (no injury) 
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.86 (no injury) 
Mf Tijn Klaassen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.18 (no injury) 
Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.77 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.14 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Davidson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Fw Arouna Geremi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Arouna Geremi is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Arouna Geremi new match skill level =  3
      Arouna Geremi new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcus Bergman SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Federico Acuña SL 10

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kostyantyn Semenyuk SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16   0  37  19  42
  Cardiff City FC          10   5  17  28  23

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (42 - 17); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Marcus Bergman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Luiz Correia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Luiz Correia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 13.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 21.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 42.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 19.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 64.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Tiago Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 93.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Tiago Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Tiago Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          10   5  17  28  23
  Bristol City FC          16   0  37  19  42

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 37)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Ramzi Riahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ramzi Riahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ramzi Riahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 29.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ben Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ramzi Riahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
We go again
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 05/25 - 5:02 AM
Hope the injuries aren’t too damaging Graham
Roger (Bristol City FC) 05/25 - 7:41 PM
 
 
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